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24hr Volume
All
Active
Time 2025 Person of the Year
Artificial Intelligence
69%
Jensen Huang
15%
$36m Vol.
Fed decision in December?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
97%
$371m Vol.
What will Powell say during December Press Conference?
Inflation 40+ times
80%
Employment / Unemployment 20+ times
86%
$371k Vol.
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?
51%
Up
Down
$29k Vol.
Villarreal CF
68%
FC København
14%
Villarreal
DRAW
FC Købe.
$518k Vol.
Qarabağ Ağdam FK
45%
AFC Ajax
30%
Qarabağ
$514k Vol.
What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?
December 11
66%
December 12
$333k Vol.
Elon Musk # tweets December 5 - December 12, 2025?
420-439
9%
440-459
18%
$8m Vol.
Honduras Presidential Election
Nasry "Tito" Asfura
93%
Salvador Nasralla
5%
$20m Vol.
Fed Derivative: Jan "25bps cut" Odds on December 10?
>40%
4%
>30%
27%
$14k Vol.
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0
1%
1
7%
$131k Vol.
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
19%
chance
Yes
No
$54k Vol.
Maduro out by...?
December 31, 2025
10%
March 31, 2026
38%
$23m Vol.
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett
71%
Kevin Warsh
13%
$32m Vol.
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Kristi Noem
28%
Pete Hegseth
$78k Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
$52m Vol.
College Football Champion 2026
Ohio State
32%
Indiana
21%
$4m Vol.
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
500B–600B
3%
800B–900B
6%
$193k Vol.
US x Venezuela military engagement by...?
December 15
8%
December 31
25%
Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua
Jake Paul
Anthony Joshua
87%
$863k Vol.
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?
December 13
$1m Vol.
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ken Paxton
60%
John Cornyn
26%
$552k Vol.
Bitcoin above ___ on December 10?
82,000
100%
84,000
$3m Vol.
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
December 8
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