What will Powell say during December Press Conference?
$123,257 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Inflation 40+ times
$10,864 Vol.
86%
Inflation 40+ times
$10,864 Vol.
86%
Inflation 50+ times
$3,019 Vol.
59%
Inflation 50+ times
$3,019 Vol.
59%
Inflation 60+ times
$962 Vol.
29%
Inflation 60+ times
$962 Vol.
29%
Percent 25+ times
$155 Vol.
69%
Percent 25+ times
$155 Vol.
69%
Employment / Unemployment 20+ times
$1,857 Vol.
86%
Employment / Unemployment 20+ times
$1,857 Vol.
86%
Tariff 13+ times
$1,355 Vol.
38%
Tariff 13+ times
$1,355 Vol.
38%
Again 10+ times
$225 Vol.
56%
Again 10+ times
$225 Vol.
56%
Projection 5+ times
$613 Vol.
64%
Projection 5+ times
$613 Vol.
64%
AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times
$2,282 Vol.
48%
AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times
$2,282 Vol.
48%
Good afternoon
$36,854 Vol.
98%
Good afternoon
$36,854 Vol.
98%
Layoffs
$2,324 Vol.
82%
Layoffs
$2,324 Vol.
82%
Dissenter
$373 Vol.
25%
Dissenter
$373 Vol.
25%
Pause
$1,192 Vol.
51%
Pause
$1,192 Vol.
51%
Tariff inflation
$1,147 Vol.
55%
Tariff inflation
$1,147 Vol.
55%
Probability
$1,239 Vol.
55%
Probability
$1,239 Vol.
55%
Weakening
$328 Vol.
67%
Weakening
$328 Vol.
67%
Sorry
$2,748 Vol.
74%
Sorry
$2,748 Vol.
74%
Pandemic
$939 Vol.
58%
Pandemic
$939 Vol.
58%
Unchanged
$4,116 Vol.
32%
Unchanged
$4,116 Vol.
32%
Trump
$17,809 Vol.
12%
Trump
$17,809 Vol.
12%
Shutdown / Shut down
$26,668 Vol.
86%
Shutdown / Shut down
$26,668 Vol.
86%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$6,187 Vol.
15%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$6,187 Vol.
15%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If no such statement happens by December 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Created At: Oct 31, 2025, 2:49 PM
Resolver
0x65070BE91...$123,257 Vol.
What will Powell say during December Press Conference?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Inflation 40+ times
86%
Inflation 50+ times
59%
Inflation 60+ times
29%
Percent 25+ times
69%
Employment / Unemployment 20+ times
86%
Tariff 13+ times
38%
Again 10+ times
56%
Projection 5+ times
64%
AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times
48%
Good afternoon
98%
Layoffs
82%
Dissenter
25%
Pause
51%
Tariff inflation
55%
Probability
55%
Weakening
67%
Sorry
74%
Pandemic
58%
Unchanged
32%
Trump
12%
Shutdown / Shut down
86%
Crypto / Bitcoin
15%
About
Resolver
0x65070BE91...



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