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Fed decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
20%
$8m Vol.
Will Trump release Epstein files by...?
December 19
57%
December 31
75%
$4m Vol.
Maduro out by...?
December 31, 2025
9%
January 31, 2026
22%
$24m Vol.
Elon Musk # tweets December 5 - December 12, 2025?
420-439
5%
440-459
52%
$11m Vol.
Nuggets
100%
Kings
0%
Live
$3m Vol.
Sabres
71%
Canucks
30%
$677k Vol.
Game of the Year 2025
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33
Hollow Knight: Silksong
<1%
$40m Vol.
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
43%
chance
Yes
No
$61k Vol.
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
14%
$71k Vol.
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Kristi Noem
24%
Pete Hegseth
$91k Vol.
US x Venezuela military engagement by...?
December 15
7%
$36m Vol.
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?
0
89%
1-100
10%
$6m Vol.
David Friedberg
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett
74%
Kevin Warsh
13%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
2%
$53m Vol.
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
<500B
800B–900B
6%
$261k Vol.
Largest Company end of 2025?
NVIDIA
91%
Apple
8%
$52m Vol.
Honduras Presidential Election
Nasry "Tito" Asfura
Salvador Nasralla
$21m Vol.
Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua
Jake Paul
Anthony Joshua
86%
$1m Vol.
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Ken Paxton
59%
John Cornyn
28%
$563k Vol.
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?
↑ 110,000
↑ 105,000
18%
$103m Vol.
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Spain
16%
England
$18m Vol.
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
Vitality
TheMongolz
$2m Vol.
2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner
Sam Soverel
98%
Erik Seidel
$223m Vol.
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