Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Will Trump release Epstein files by...? card icon

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

December 19

88%

December 20

94%

December 19

88%

December 20

94%

$15m Vol.

Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua card icon

Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Jake Paul

8%

Anthony Joshua

90%

Jake Paul

8%

Anthony Joshua

90%

$21m Vol.

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files? card icon

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files?

David Copperfield

52%

Ehud Barak

47%

David Copperfield

52%

Ehud Barak

47%

$1m Vol.

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor card icon

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

83%

Tate

$718k Vol.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 19? card icon

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 19?

98%

Up

$59k Vol.

TikTok sale announced by...? card icon

TikTok sale announced by...?

December 31

75%

March 31

92%

December 31

75%

March 31

92%

$6m Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets December 16 - December 23, 2025? card icon

Elon Musk # tweets December 16 - December 23, 2025?

280-299

12%

300-319

16%

280-299

12%

300-319

16%

$9m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

55%

Kevin Warsh

21%

Kevin Hassett

55%

Kevin Warsh

21%

$72m Vol.

Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

4%

January 31, 2026

16%

December 31, 2025

4%

January 31, 2026

16%

$28m Vol.

NFC West Winner card icon

NFC West Winner

Seattle

53%

Los Angeles R

25%

Seattle

53%

Los Angeles R

25%

$2m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

21%

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

21%

$41m Vol.

Epstein client list released in 2025? card icon

Epstein client list released in 2025?

4%

chance

$563k Vol.

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? card icon

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

28%

chance

$178k Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election card icon

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

47%

Flávio Bolsonaro

18%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

47%

Flávio Bolsonaro

18%

$9m Vol.

US x Venezuela military engagement by...? card icon

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

December 23

6%

December 31

14%

December 23

6%

December 31

14%

$41m Vol.

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025? card icon

How many gifts will Santa deliver in 2025?

8 - 8.1B

1%

8.1 - 8.2B

2%

8 - 8.1B

1%

8.1 - 8.2B

2%

$771k Vol.

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? card icon

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B

71%

>$2B

61%

>$1B

71%

>$2B

61%

$29m Vol.

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? card icon

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

32%

chance

$378k Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

19%

Pete Hegseth

16%

Kristi Noem

19%

Pete Hegseth

16%

$337k Vol.

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...? card icon

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...?

December 31

27%

January 31

62%

December 31

27%

January 31

62%

$732k Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on December 19? card icon

Bitcoin above ___ on December 19?

80,000

100%

82,000

100%

80,000

100%

82,000

100%

$4m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

66%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

16%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

66%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

16%

$77m Vol.

"Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office

<90m

61%

90-101m

34%

<90m

61%

90-101m

34%

$5m Vol.

NBA MVP card icon

NBA MVP

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

51%

Nikola Jokic

28%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

51%

Nikola Jokic

28%

$5m Vol.

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