Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.4% for Xi Jinping exiting power by June 30, reflecting his unchallenged paramount leadership within the Chinese Communist Party, reinforced by recent public engagements such as his May 1 appearance at a Shanghai symposium urging investment in basic research and China's presidency of the UN Security Council this month. Ongoing spring diplomacy, including preparations for a May 14-15 summit with President Trump, signals robust health and activity amid no credible reports of illness or factional challenges. Earlier 2026 purges of senior People's Liberation Army officers on the Central Military Commission highlight his power consolidation rather than vulnerability. Sudden medical crisis or elite coup—rare in the opaque CCP system—remain the only realistic paths to reversal before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于习近平6月30日出局?
习近平6月30日出局?
是
$2,208,393 交易量
$2,208,393 交易量
是
$2,208,393 交易量
$2,208,393 交易量
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Dec 17, 2025, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.4% for Xi Jinping exiting power by June 30, reflecting his unchallenged paramount leadership within the Chinese Communist Party, reinforced by recent public engagements such as his May 1 appearance at a Shanghai symposium urging investment in basic research and China's presidency of the UN Security Council this month. Ongoing spring diplomacy, including preparations for a May 14-15 summit with President Trump, signals robust health and activity amid no credible reports of illness or factional challenges. Earlier 2026 purges of senior People's Liberation Army officers on the Central Military Commission highlight his power consolidation rather than vulnerability. Sudden medical crisis or elite coup—rare in the opaque CCP system—remain the only realistic paths to reversal before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题