Traders assign a 98.6% probability that Xi Jinping will not divorce before 2027, reflecting the complete absence of verified reports, official statements, or credible indicators of marital strain in his decades-long marriage to Peng Liyuan. Chinese leadership norms emphasize stability and opacity around personal matters at the highest levels, with no historical precedent for divorce among top officials and consistent state-media portrayals of family continuity. Any shift would require unprecedented private developments surfacing publicly within the resolution window, an outcome traders view as highly improbable given institutional controls and the lack of recent catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$99,216 交易量
$99,216 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$99,216 交易量
$99,216 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 98.6% probability that Xi Jinping will not divorce before 2027, reflecting the complete absence of verified reports, official statements, or credible indicators of marital strain in his decades-long marriage to Peng Liyuan. Chinese leadership norms emphasize stability and opacity around personal matters at the highest levels, with no historical precedent for divorce among top officials and consistent state-media portrayals of family continuity. Any shift would require unprecedented private developments surfacing publicly within the resolution window, an outcome traders view as highly improbable given institutional controls and the lack of recent catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
市场开放时间： Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ET
交易量
$99,216结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Traders assign a 98.6% probability that Xi Jinping will not divorce before 2027, reflecting the complete absence of verified reports, official statements, or credible indicators of marital strain in his decades-long marriage to Peng Liyuan. Chinese leadership norms emphasize stability and opacity around personal matters at the highest levels, with no historical precedent for divorce among top officials and consistent state-media portrayals of family continuity. Any shift would require unprecedented private developments surfacing publicly within the resolution window, an outcome traders view as highly improbable given institutional controls and the lack of recent catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
交易量
$99,216结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 30, 2025, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 98.6% probability that Xi Jinping will not divorce before 2027, reflecting the complete absence of verified reports, official statements, or credible indicators of marital strain in his decades-long marriage to Peng Liyuan. Chinese leadership norms emphasize stability and opacity around personal matters at the highest levels, with no historical precedent for divorce among top officials and consistent state-media portrayals of family continuity. Any shift would require unprecedented private developments surfacing publicly within the resolution window, an outcome traders view as highly improbable given institutional controls and the lack of recent catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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