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委内瑞拉会在1月31日之前向美国供应石油吗?

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委内瑞拉会在1月31日之前向美国供应石油吗?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$598,714 交易量

>99% chance
Polymarket

$598,714 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan authorities officially announce or enter into an agreement to give any amount of oil, or the proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the United States government, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Venezuelan authorities will be considered to have given oil (or proceeds) to the United States if Venezuelan government officials (including interim government officials) (i) deliver, or authorize the delivery of, oil or (ii) transfer, or authorize the transfer of, proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the US government. An official announcement or agreement will qualify. Arrangements where Venezuela receives a revenue share will still count, provided the oil (or proceeds from its sale) are confirmed to be under the control of the US government and the US government is not required to provide direct payment or other material consideration to Venezuela for the initial transfer. The transfer of payments received through the sale of Venezuelan oil to the US government, or US government control over payments received through a joint US–Venezuela sale of Venezuelan oil, will qualify. US government oil purchases from Venezuela at market rates that involve direct payment to Venezuela, or US seizure of Venezuelan oil without the consent of Venezuelan authorities, will not count. Venezuelan authorities turning over oil to private US entities (e.g., US oil companies) will qualify only if the oil or the proceeds from sale of the oil are confirmed to be under the control of the US government. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan authorities officially announce or enter into an agreement to give any amount of oil, or the proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the United States government, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Venezuelan authorities will be considered to have given oil (or proceeds) to the United States if Venezuelan government officials (including interim government officials) (i) deliver, or authorize the delivery of, oil or (ii) transfer, or authorize the transfer of, proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the US government.

An official announcement or agreement will qualify.

Arrangements where Venezuela receives a revenue share will still count, provided the oil (or proceeds from its sale) are confirmed to be under the control of the US government and the US government is not required to provide direct payment or other material consideration to Venezuela for the initial transfer.

The transfer of payments received through the sale of Venezuelan oil to the US government, or US government control over payments received through a joint US–Venezuela sale of Venezuelan oil, will qualify.

US government oil purchases from Venezuela at market rates that involve direct payment to Venezuela, or US seizure of Venezuelan oil without the consent of Venezuelan authorities, will not count.

Venezuelan authorities turning over oil to private US entities (e.g., US oil companies) will qualify only if the oil or the proceeds from sale of the oil are confirmed to be under the control of the US government.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$598,714
结束日期
Jan 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan authorities officially announce or enter into an agreement to give any amount of oil, or the proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the United States government, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Venezuelan authorities will be considered to have given oil (or proceeds) to the United States if Venezuelan government officials (including interim government officials) (i) deliver, or authorize the delivery of, oil or (ii) transfer, or authorize the transfer of, proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the US government. An official announcement or agreement will qualify. Arrangements where Venezuela receives a revenue share will still count, provided the oil (or proceeds from its sale) are confirmed to be under the control of the US government and the US government is not required to provide direct payment or other material consideration to Venezuela for the initial transfer. The transfer of payments received through the sale of Venezuelan oil to the US government, or US government control over payments received through a joint US–Venezuela sale of Venezuelan oil, will qualify. US government oil purchases from Venezuela at market rates that involve direct payment to Venezuela, or US seizure of Venezuelan oil without the consent of Venezuelan authorities, will not count. Venezuelan authorities turning over oil to private US entities (e.g., US oil companies) will qualify only if the oil or the proceeds from sale of the oil are confirmed to be under the control of the US government. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: 是

有争议

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan authorities officially announce or enter into an agreement to give any amount of oil, or the proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the United States government, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Venezuelan authorities will be considered to have given oil (or proceeds) to the United States if Venezuelan government officials (including interim government officials) (i) deliver, or authorize the delivery of, oil or (ii) transfer, or authorize the transfer of, proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the US government. An official announcement or agreement will qualify. Arrangements where Venezuela receives a revenue share will still count, provided the oil (or proceeds from its sale) are confirmed to be under the control of the US government and the US government is not required to provide direct payment or other material consideration to Venezuela for the initial transfer. The transfer of payments received through the sale of Venezuelan oil to the US government, or US government control over payments received through a joint US–Venezuela sale of Venezuelan oil, will qualify. US government oil purchases from Venezuela at market rates that involve direct payment to Venezuela, or US seizure of Venezuelan oil without the consent of Venezuelan authorities, will not count. Venezuelan authorities turning over oil to private US entities (e.g., US oil companies) will qualify only if the oil or the proceeds from sale of the oil are confirmed to be under the control of the US government. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan authorities officially announce or enter into an agreement to give any amount of oil, or the proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the United States government, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Venezuelan authorities will be considered to have given oil (or proceeds) to the United States if Venezuelan government officials (including interim government officials) (i) deliver, or authorize the delivery of, oil or (ii) transfer, or authorize the transfer of, proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the US government.

An official announcement or agreement will qualify.

Arrangements where Venezuela receives a revenue share will still count, provided the oil (or proceeds from its sale) are confirmed to be under the control of the US government and the US government is not required to provide direct payment or other material consideration to Venezuela for the initial transfer.

The transfer of payments received through the sale of Venezuelan oil to the US government, or US government control over payments received through a joint US–Venezuela sale of Venezuelan oil, will qualify.

US government oil purchases from Venezuela at market rates that involve direct payment to Venezuela, or US seizure of Venezuelan oil without the consent of Venezuelan authorities, will not count.

Venezuelan authorities turning over oil to private US entities (e.g., US oil companies) will qualify only if the oil or the proceeds from sale of the oil are confirmed to be under the control of the US government.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$598,714
结束日期
Jan 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 10:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan authorities officially announce or enter into an agreement to give any amount of oil, or the proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the United States government, by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Venezuelan authorities will be considered to have given oil (or proceeds) to the United States if Venezuelan government officials (including interim government officials) (i) deliver, or authorize the delivery of, oil or (ii) transfer, or authorize the transfer of, proceeds from specific Venezuelan oil sales, to the US government. An official announcement or agreement will qualify. Arrangements where Venezuela receives a revenue share will still count, provided the oil (or proceeds from its sale) are confirmed to be under the control of the US government and the US government is not required to provide direct payment or other material consideration to Venezuela for the initial transfer. The transfer of payments received through the sale of Venezuelan oil to the US government, or US government control over payments received through a joint US–Venezuela sale of Venezuelan oil, will qualify. US government oil purchases from Venezuela at market rates that involve direct payment to Venezuela, or US seizure of Venezuelan oil without the consent of Venezuelan authorities, will not count. Venezuelan authorities turning over oil to private US entities (e.g., US oil companies) will qualify only if the oil or the proceeds from sale of the oil are confirmed to be under the control of the US government. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: 是

有争议

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"委内瑞拉会在1月31日之前向美国供应石油吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"到1月31日,委内瑞拉会向美国提供石油吗?",概率为 100%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"委内瑞拉会在1月31日之前向美国供应石油吗?"已产生 $598.7K 的总交易量(自Jan 7, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"委内瑞拉会在1月31日之前向美国供应石油吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"委内瑞拉会在1月31日之前向美国供应石油吗?"的当前领先者是"到1月31日,委内瑞拉会向美国提供石油吗?",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"委内瑞拉会在1月31日之前向美国供应石油吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。