Venezuela's crude oil production has surged to a government-reported 1.1 million barrels per day in March 2026—including condensate—up from OPEC's secondary-source figure of 903,000 bpd in February, propelled by U.S. Treasury's February sanction easings that enabled Chevron and other majors to expand joint ventures with PDVSA and negotiate new investments. This marks a 30%–40% implied rise potential per U.S. estimates, targeting 1.2–1.4 million bpd by year-end amid rising exports generating $18 billion in 2025 revenues. However, chronic infrastructure deficits, diluent shortages for heavy crude transport, and political volatility under Maduro cap aggressive ramps. Traders monitor monthly OPEC Oil Market Reports (Table 5-7) for resolution triggers, with next data drops and FOMC-adjacent global oil dynamics as key catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$80,877 交易量
2027-02-28
100万
85%
110万
69%
120万
48%
130万
32%
140万
14%
150万
11%
170万
15%
200万
5%
$80,877 交易量
100万
$23,879 交易量
85%
110万
$12,691 交易量
69%
120万
$0 交易量
48%
130万
$5,668 交易量
32%
140万
$16,009 交易量
14%
150万
$7,157 交易量
11%
170万
$3,345 交易量
15%
200万
$12,128 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuela's crude oil production has surged to a government-reported 1.1 million barrels per day in March 2026—including condensate—up from OPEC's secondary-source figure of 903,000 bpd in February, propelled by U.S. Treasury's February sanction easings that enabled Chevron and other majors to expand joint ventures with PDVSA and negotiate new investments. This marks a 30%–40% implied rise potential per U.S. estimates, targeting 1.2–1.4 million bpd by year-end amid rising exports generating $18 billion in 2025 revenues. However, chronic infrastructure deficits, diluent shortages for heavy crude transport, and political volatility under Maduro cap aggressive ramps. Traders monitor monthly OPEC Oil Market Reports (Table 5-7) for resolution triggers, with next data drops and FOMC-adjacent global oil dynamics as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
交易量
$80,877结束日期
2027-02-28市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Venezuela's crude oil production has surged to a government-reported 1.1 million barrels per day in March 2026—including condensate—up from OPEC's secondary-source figure of 903,000 bpd in February, propelled by U.S. Treasury's February sanction easings that enabled Chevron and other majors to expand joint ventures with PDVSA and negotiate new investments. This marks a 30%–40% implied rise potential per U.S. estimates, targeting 1.2–1.4 million bpd by year-end amid rising exports generating $18 billion in 2025 revenues. However, chronic infrastructure deficits, diluent shortages for heavy crude transport, and political volatility under Maduro cap aggressive ramps. Traders monitor monthly OPEC Oil Market Reports (Table 5-7) for resolution triggers, with next data drops and FOMC-adjacent global oil dynamics as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
交易量
$80,877结束日期
2027-02-28市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuela's crude oil production has surged to a government-reported 1.1 million barrels per day in March 2026—including condensate—up from OPEC's secondary-source figure of 903,000 bpd in February, propelled by U.S. Treasury's February sanction easings that enabled Chevron and other majors to expand joint ventures with PDVSA and negotiate new investments. This marks a 30%–40% implied rise potential per U.S. estimates, targeting 1.2–1.4 million bpd by year-end amid rising exports generating $18 billion in 2025 revenues. However, chronic infrastructure deficits, diluent shortages for heavy crude transport, and political volatility under Maduro cap aggressive ramps. Traders monitor monthly OPEC Oil Market Reports (Table 5-7) for resolution triggers, with next data drops and FOMC-adjacent global oil dynamics as key catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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