Venezuela's crude oil production surged to 1.1 million barrels per day in March 2026—including condensate—up from OPEC-reported 903,000 bpd in February, driven by U.S. sanctions waivers enabling Chevron and Shell to ramp up joint ventures with PDVSA, alongside Orinoco Belt optimizations and elevated Brent crude benchmarks near $100 per barrel spurring investment. This marks a 20% quarterly gain from Q1 averages around 950,000 bpd, reflecting improved operational efficiency amid persistent infrastructure decay and underinvestment. Traders monitor hydrocarbons law reforms and additional regulatory approvals for potential output expansion to 1.2-1.5 million bpd by year-end, with upcoming OPEC monthly reports and EIA updates as key catalysts influencing market-implied trajectories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$80,805 交易量
100万
85%
110万
68%
120万
48%
130万
32%
140万
14%
150万
11%
170万
22%
200万
5%
$80,805 交易量
100万
85%
110万
68%
120万
48%
130万
32%
140万
14%
150万
11%
170万
22%
200万
5%
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
市场开放时间: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuela's crude oil production surged to 1.1 million barrels per day in March 2026—including condensate—up from OPEC-reported 903,000 bpd in February, driven by U.S. sanctions waivers enabling Chevron and Shell to ramp up joint ventures with PDVSA, alongside Orinoco Belt optimizations and elevated Brent crude benchmarks near $100 per barrel spurring investment. This marks a 20% quarterly gain from Q1 averages around 950,000 bpd, reflecting improved operational efficiency amid persistent infrastructure decay and underinvestment. Traders monitor hydrocarbons law reforms and additional regulatory approvals for potential output expansion to 1.2-1.5 million bpd by year-end, with upcoming OPEC monthly reports and EIA updates as key catalysts influencing market-implied trajectories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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