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Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by...?

Market icon

Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by...?

$67,950 交易量

2023-04-27
Polymarket

$67,950 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

April 30

$4,172 交易量

No

Market icon

June 30

$8,225 交易量

No

Market icon

September 30

$31,198 交易量

No

Market icon

December 31

$24,355 交易量

Yes

This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "Ship 24 (S24)", by April 30, 2023. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. If the Starship completes a successful launch by April 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "Ship 24 (S24)" with another vehicle (i.e. "S25", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level by April 30, 2023.This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "Ship 24 (S24)", by June 30, 2023. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. If the Starship completes a successful launch by June 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "Ship 24 (S24)" with another vehicle (i.e. "S25", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level by June 30, 2023.If any Starship completes a successful launch by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. If any Starship completes a successful launch by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "Ship 24 (S24)", by April 30, 2023.

A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.

If the Starship completes a successful launch by April 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "Ship 24 (S24)" with another vehicle (i.e. "S25", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level by April 30, 2023.
交易量
$67,950
结束日期
2023-12-31
市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2023, 11:09 AM ET
This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "Ship 24 (S24)", by April 30, 2023. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. If the Starship completes a successful launch by April 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "Ship 24 (S24)" with another vehicle (i.e. "S25", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level by April 30, 2023.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "Ship 24 (S24)", by April 30, 2023. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. If the Starship completes a successful launch by April 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "Ship 24 (S24)" with another vehicle (i.e. "S25", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level by April 30, 2023.This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "Ship 24 (S24)", by June 30, 2023. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. If the Starship completes a successful launch by June 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "Ship 24 (S24)" with another vehicle (i.e. "S25", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level by June 30, 2023.If any Starship completes a successful launch by September 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. If any Starship completes a successful launch by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "Ship 24 (S24)", by April 30, 2023.

A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.

If the Starship completes a successful launch by April 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "Ship 24 (S24)" with another vehicle (i.e. "S25", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level by April 30, 2023.
交易量
$67,950
结束日期
2023-12-31
市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2023, 11:09 AM ET
This is a market on whether SpaceX will successfully complete a launch of the next Starship intended to reach outer space, currently dubbed "Ship 24 (S24)", by April 30, 2023. A successful launch will mean that Starship takes off from its launchpad and successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. If the Starship completes a successful launch by April 30, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship or replacement of "Ship 24 (S24)" with another vehicle (i.e. "S25", etc.) will have no bearing on the outcome of the market. Any SpaceX Starship launch that is not intended for outer space will have no bearing on the market. This market will resolve solely on whether the first Starship launch intended to reach outer space will successfully reach 62 miles above sea level by April 30, 2023.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by...?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"December 31",概率为 100%,其次是"April 30",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by...?"已产生 $67.9K 的总交易量(自Apr 7, 2023市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by...?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by...?"的当前领先者是"December 31",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"April 30",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by...?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。