Trader consensus prices a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by June 30 at just 4.3%, reflecting stalled US-mediated peace talks that abruptly ended in Geneva last month and have not resumed amid Russia's spring offensive launched this week and US focus on the Iran conflict. Zelenskyy has repeatedly signaled readiness for direct diplomacy, including recent interviews stressing insufficient pressure on Moscow, but Putin demands preconditions like Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas—rejected by Kyiv—and suggested Zelenskyy visit Moscow instead. No bilateral summit is scheduled, with envoys' negotiations at impasse; a dramatic de-escalation, ceasefire breakthrough, or high-level diplomatic intervention could shift odds, though historical patterns in prolonged conflicts suggest low likelihood.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$151,883 交易量
$151,883 交易量
是
$151,883 交易量
$151,883 交易量
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by June 30 at just 4.3%, reflecting stalled US-mediated peace talks that abruptly ended in Geneva last month and have not resumed amid Russia's spring offensive launched this week and US focus on the Iran conflict. Zelenskyy has repeatedly signaled readiness for direct diplomacy, including recent interviews stressing insufficient pressure on Moscow, but Putin demands preconditions like Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas—rejected by Kyiv—and suggested Zelenskyy visit Moscow instead. No bilateral summit is scheduled, with envoys' negotiations at impasse; a dramatic de-escalation, ceasefire breakthrough, or high-level diplomatic intervention could shift odds, though historical patterns in prolonged conflicts suggest low likelihood.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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