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普京是否会在2026年6月30日之前与泽伦斯基会面?

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普京是否会在2026年6月30日之前与泽伦斯基会面?

4% chance
Polymarket

$151,883 交易量

4% chance
Polymarket

$151,883 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by June 30 at just 4.3%, reflecting stalled US-mediated peace talks that abruptly ended in Geneva last month and have not resumed amid Russia's spring offensive launched this week and US focus on the Iran conflict. Zelenskyy has repeatedly signaled readiness for direct diplomacy, including recent interviews stressing insufficient pressure on Moscow, but Putin demands preconditions like Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas—rejected by Kyiv—and suggested Zelenskyy visit Moscow instead. No bilateral summit is scheduled, with envoys' negotiations at impasse; a dramatic de-escalation, ceasefire breakthrough, or high-level diplomatic intervention could shift odds, though historical patterns in prolonged conflicts suggest low likelihood.

Trader consensus prices a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by June 30 at just 4.3%, reflecting stalled US-mediated peace talks that abruptly ended in Geneva last month and have not resumed amid Russia's spring offensive launched this week and US focus on the Iran conflict. Zelenskyy has repeatedly signaled readiness for direct diplomacy, including recent interviews stressing insufficient pressure on Moscow, but Putin demands preconditions like Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas—rejected by Kyiv—and suggested Zelenskyy visit Moscow instead. No bilateral summit is scheduled, with envoys' negotiations at impasse; a dramatic de-escalation, ceasefire breakthrough, or high-level diplomatic intervention could shift odds, though historical patterns in prolonged conflicts suggest low likelihood.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by June 30 at just 4.3%, reflecting stalled US-mediated peace talks that abruptly ended in Geneva last month and have not resumed amid Russia's spring offensive launched this week and US focus on the Iran conflict. Zelenskyy has repeatedly signaled readiness for direct diplomacy, including recent interviews stressing insufficient pressure on Moscow, but Putin demands preconditions like Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas—rejected by Kyiv—and suggested Zelenskyy visit Moscow instead. No bilateral summit is scheduled, with envoys' negotiations at impasse; a dramatic de-escalation, ceasefire breakthrough, or high-level diplomatic intervention could shift odds, though historical patterns in prolonged conflicts suggest low likelihood.

Trader consensus prices a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting by June 30 at just 4.3%, reflecting stalled US-mediated peace talks that abruptly ended in Geneva last month and have not resumed amid Russia's spring offensive launched this week and US focus on the Iran conflict. Zelenskyy has repeatedly signaled readiness for direct diplomacy, including recent interviews stressing insufficient pressure on Moscow, but Putin demands preconditions like Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas—rejected by Kyiv—and suggested Zelenskyy visit Moscow instead. No bilateral summit is scheduled, with envoys' negotiations at impasse; a dramatic de-escalation, ceasefire breakthrough, or high-level diplomatic intervention could shift odds, though historical patterns in prolonged conflicts suggest low likelihood.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"普京是否会在2026年6月30日之前与泽伦斯基会面?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"普京会在2026年6月30日前与泽连斯基会面吗?",概率为 4%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 4¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 4%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"普京是否会在2026年6月30日之前与泽伦斯基会面?"已产生 $151.9K 的总交易量(自Sep 23, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"普京是否会在2026年6月30日之前与泽伦斯基会面?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"普京是否会在2026年6月30日之前与泽伦斯基会面?"的当前领先者是"普京会在2026年6月30日前与泽连斯基会面吗?",仅有 4%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"普京是否会在2026年6月30日之前与泽伦斯基会面?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。