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特朗普将在国情咨文演讲中提名谁?

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特朗普将在国情咨文演讲中提名谁?

$778,375 交易量

Feb 24, 2026
Polymarket

$778,375 交易量

Polymarket

阿亚图拉 / 哈梅内伊

$8,171 交易量

Beckstrom

$14,682 交易量

Bessent

$18,125 交易量

比比 / 内塔尼亚胡

$13,406 交易量

查理·柯克

$43,982 交易量

克林顿

$12,738 交易量

伊丽莎白·沃伦 / 波卡洪塔斯

$6,992 交易量

埃隆 / 马斯克

$12,353 交易量

赫格塞斯

$14,012 交易量

霍曼

$17,001 交易量

Howard / Lutnick

$11,362 交易量

库什纳

$22,752 交易量

Karoline / Leavitt

$10,737 交易量

卡什 / 帕特尔

$11,243 交易量

诺姆

$9,681 交易量

林肯

$12,608 交易量

马杜罗

$18,016 交易量

马尔科 / 卢比奥

$14,769 交易量

门罗

$24,558 交易量

纽森 / Newscum

$19,690 交易量

奥巴马

$103,547 交易量

Pam / Bondi

$11,688 交易量

鲍威尔 / 太晚

$9,538 交易量

习主席

$18,077 交易量

穆罕默德王子

$12,918 交易量

普京

$17,169 交易量

里根

$15,552 交易量

礼萨 / 巴列维

$8,660 交易量

舒默

$3,913 交易量

苏茜·怀尔斯

$8,570 交易量

Thune

$14,052 交易量

Walz

$8,445 交易量

Witkoff

$33,363 交易量

泽连斯基

$12,449 交易量

Zohran / Mamdani

$14,622 交易量

布什

$7,228 交易量

拜登

$58,518 交易量

卡瓦诺

$818 交易量

凯文·沃什

$7,103 交易量

朱迪·谢尔顿

$74,897 交易量

马查多

$2,157 交易量

凯恩

$2,500 交易量

戴尔

$10,084 交易量

斯卡利斯

$5,627 交易量

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
交易量
$778,375
结束日期
Feb 24, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普将在国情咨文演讲中提名谁?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Beckstrom" at 100%, followed by "查理·柯克" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普将在国情咨文演讲中提名谁?" has generated $778.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普将在国情咨文演讲中提名谁?," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普将在国情咨文演讲中提名谁?" is "Beckstrom" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "查理·柯克" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普将在国情咨文演讲中提名谁?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.