Warner Bros. Discovery signed a definitive $110 billion merger agreement with Paramount Skydance on February 27, 2026, after Netflix declined to raise its bid and waived its contractual rights, positioning Paramount as the clear trader favorite at 72.5% implied probability. The deal awaits Warner Bros. Discovery shareholder approval at the April 23 special meeting and regulatory clearances, including a deepening U.S. Department of Justice antitrust review that issued subpoenas as recently as March 31, elevating the "None by June 30, 2027" outcome to 24.5% amid concerns over reduced competition in studios, streaming, and news. Netflix and Comcast odds remain negligible absent renewed bids, with FCC Chairman Brendan Carr noting the transaction as "cleaner" than prior alternatives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于派拉蒙 73%
截至2027年6月30日无 25%
Netflix <1%
康卡斯特 <1%
$968,366 交易量
$968,366 交易量
派拉蒙
73%
截至2027年6月30日无
25%
Netflix
1%
康卡斯特
<1%
派拉蒙 73%
截至2027年6月30日无 25%
Netflix <1%
康卡斯特 <1%
$968,366 交易量
$968,366 交易量
派拉蒙
73%
截至2027年6月30日无
25%
Netflix
1%
康卡斯特
<1%
Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
市场开放时间: Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Warner Bros. Discovery signed a definitive $110 billion merger agreement with Paramount Skydance on February 27, 2026, after Netflix declined to raise its bid and waived its contractual rights, positioning Paramount as the clear trader favorite at 72.5% implied probability. The deal awaits Warner Bros. Discovery shareholder approval at the April 23 special meeting and regulatory clearances, including a deepening U.S. Department of Justice antitrust review that issued subpoenas as recently as March 31, elevating the "None by June 30, 2027" outcome to 24.5% amid concerns over reduced competition in studios, streaming, and news. Netflix and Comcast odds remain negligible absent renewed bids, with FCC Chairman Brendan Carr noting the transaction as "cleaner" than prior alternatives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题