No notable diplomatic announcements or accessions have occurred in the past 30 days for countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, leaving trader consensus reflecting uncertainty amid stalled international momentum. The initiative lacks recent primary source confirmations from foreign ministries, UN channels, or multilateral summits, with no verified invitations or commitments reported. Bettors should monitor upcoming events like bilateral negotiations, regional forums, or official statements from key actors in diplomacy and foreign policy, as late-breaking developments such as executive actions or alliance shifts could trigger rapid changes before the deadline. Structural factors like treaty ratification timelines add hurdles to timely joins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1,714,961 交易量
印度
3%
英国
2%
意大利
2%
中国
2%
巴西
2%
比利时
1%
芬兰
1%
法国
1%
德国
1%
瑞典
1%
俄罗斯
1%
丹麦
1%
荷兰
1%
瑞士
1%
挪威
1%
巴勒斯坦
<1%
西班牙
<1%
乌克兰
<1%
$1,714,961 交易量
印度
3%
英国
2%
意大利
2%
中国
2%
巴西
2%
比利时
1%
芬兰
1%
法国
1%
德国
1%
瑞典
1%
俄罗斯
1%
丹麦
1%
荷兰
1%
瑞士
1%
挪威
1%
巴勒斯坦
<1%
西班牙
<1%
乌克兰
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...No notable diplomatic announcements or accessions have occurred in the past 30 days for countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, leaving trader consensus reflecting uncertainty amid stalled international momentum. The initiative lacks recent primary source confirmations from foreign ministries, UN channels, or multilateral summits, with no verified invitations or commitments reported. Bettors should monitor upcoming events like bilateral negotiations, regional forums, or official statements from key actors in diplomacy and foreign policy, as late-breaking developments such as executive actions or alliance shifts could trigger rapid changes before the deadline. Structural factors like treaty ratification timelines add hurdles to timely joins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题