Market icon

Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?

Market icon

Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?

150-160mm 100.0%

<150mm <1%

160-170mm <1%

170-180mm <1%

Polymarket

$30,716 交易量

150-160mm 100.0%

<150mm <1%

160-170mm <1%

170-180mm <1%

Polymarket

$30,716 交易量

<150mm

$11,625 交易量

No

150-160mm

$11,066 交易量

Yes

160-170mm

$2,104 交易量

No

170-180mm

$1,417 交易量

No

180-190mm

$937 交易量

No

190-200mm

$1,368 交易量

No

200mm+

$2,199 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between March 1 and March 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in March 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's monthly weather summary for March 2026, published March 31, confirms total rainfall at the Observatory station between 150-160mm amid an unseasonably warm and rainy month, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome. Early-month cold fronts on March 2 triggered showers with 30mm locally, followed by upper-air disturbances on March 3-4 delivering over 100mm across Kowloon, Tseung Kwan O, and Lantau amid thunderstorms, supplemented by lighter rain patches on March 10, 17, 20-21, 27, 29, and 30. Accumulated daily totals solidify this positioning, with resolution imminent per HKO's official "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure. Only a rare data correction or audit discrepancy could challenge it, though none is indicated.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between March 1 and March 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.

The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in March 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$30,716
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 1:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between March 1 and March 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in March 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between March 1 and March 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in March 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's monthly weather summary for March 2026, published March 31, confirms total rainfall at the Observatory station between 150-160mm amid an unseasonably warm and rainy month, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome. Early-month cold fronts on March 2 triggered showers with 30mm locally, followed by upper-air disturbances on March 3-4 delivering over 100mm across Kowloon, Tseung Kwan O, and Lantau amid thunderstorms, supplemented by lighter rain patches on March 10, 17, 20-21, 27, 29, and 30. Accumulated daily totals solidify this positioning, with resolution imminent per HKO's official "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure. Only a rare data correction or audit discrepancy could challenge it, though none is indicated.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between March 1 and March 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.

The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in March 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$30,716
结束日期
2026-03-31
市场开放时间
Mar 13, 2026, 1:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between March 1 and March 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in March 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"150-160mm",概率为 100%,其次是"<150mm",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?"已产生 $30.7K 的总交易量(自Mar 13, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?"的当前领先者是"150-160mm",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"<150mm",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。