Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more (40.5%) between President-elect Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at their anticipated first in-person meeting, anchored in their 2017 Mar-a-Lago summit precedent where they exchanged grips lasting nearly 20 seconds to project rapport amid trade negotiations. Following Trump's November 2024 election victory, Xi promptly sent congratulations via letter and reportedly held a constructive phone call, easing immediate tensions despite Trump's tariff threats and signaling diplomatic engagement. With no confirmed summit date—potentially tied to early 2025 bilateral talks or multilateral forums like APEC—shorter durations (6-15s combined ~40.5%) and no-handshake (6.2%) reflect uncertainty over optics in strained U.S.-China relations, while minimal odds on brief or photo-only interactions underscore expectations of substantive leader-level diplomacy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于15秒及以上 41%
6–10秒 21%
10–15秒 20%
2–6秒 11%
$42,602 交易量
$42,602 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
不握手
6%
<2秒
3%
2–6秒
11%
6–10秒
21%
10–15秒
20%
15秒及以上
41%
仅被拍照
2%
15秒及以上 41%
6–10秒 21%
10–15秒 20%
2–6秒 11%
$42,602 交易量
$42,602 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
不握手
$8,974 交易量
6%
<2秒
$4,721 交易量
3%
2–6秒
$8,629 交易量
11%
6–10秒
$3,194 交易量
21%
10–15秒
$3,089 交易量
20%
15秒及以上
$5,235 交易量
41%
仅被拍照
$8,760 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more (40.5%) between President-elect Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at their anticipated first in-person meeting, anchored in their 2017 Mar-a-Lago summit precedent where they exchanged grips lasting nearly 20 seconds to project rapport amid trade negotiations. Following Trump's November 2024 election victory, Xi promptly sent congratulations via letter and reportedly held a constructive phone call, easing immediate tensions despite Trump's tariff threats and signaling diplomatic engagement. With no confirmed summit date—potentially tied to early 2025 bilateral talks or multilateral forums like APEC—shorter durations (6-15s combined ~40.5%) and no-handshake (6.2%) reflect uncertainty over optics in strained U.S.-China relations, while minimal odds on brief or photo-only interactions underscore expectations of substantive leader-level diplomacy.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
市场开放时间： Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
交易量
$42,602结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more (40.5%) between President-elect Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at their anticipated first in-person meeting, anchored in their 2017 Mar-a-Lago summit precedent where they exchanged grips lasting nearly 20 seconds to project rapport amid trade negotiations. Following Trump's November 2024 election victory, Xi promptly sent congratulations via letter and reportedly held a constructive phone call, easing immediate tensions despite Trump's tariff threats and signaling diplomatic engagement. With no confirmed summit date—potentially tied to early 2025 bilateral talks or multilateral forums like APEC—shorter durations (6-15s combined ~40.5%) and no-handshake (6.2%) reflect uncertainty over optics in strained U.S.-China relations, while minimal odds on brief or photo-only interactions underscore expectations of substantive leader-level diplomacy.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
交易量
$42,602结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a prolonged handshake of 15 seconds or more (40.5%) between President-elect Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping at their anticipated first in-person meeting, anchored in their 2017 Mar-a-Lago summit precedent where they exchanged grips lasting nearly 20 seconds to project rapport amid trade negotiations. Following Trump's November 2024 election victory, Xi promptly sent congratulations via letter and reportedly held a constructive phone call, easing immediate tensions despite Trump's tariff threats and signaling diplomatic engagement. With no confirmed summit date—potentially tied to early 2025 bilateral talks or multilateral forums like APEC—shorter durations (6-15s combined ~40.5%) and no-handshake (6.2%) reflect uncertainty over optics in strained U.S.-China relations, while minimal odds on brief or photo-only interactions underscore expectations of substantive leader-level diplomacy.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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