Trader consensus favors prolonged handshakes of 15 seconds or more at 42%, reflecting historical precedents from Trump-Xi summits, including a 27-second grip in past bilateral meetings and optics-heavy greetings at events like the G20. Recent diplomatic thaw bolsters this positioning: President Trump's April 15 remarks touting a forthcoming "big, fat hug" from Xi Jinping amid China's cooperation in nudging Iran toward ceasefire and pledging no arms shipments, alongside reports of a potential May Beijing summit, signal cordiality that elevates 10–15s (26.5%) and 6–10s (12%) probabilities. Low odds on no handshake (5.1%) stem from confirmed summit momentum, though exact timing remains fluid before December 31, 2026 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于15秒及以上 42%
10–15秒 32%
6–10秒 12%
2–6秒 9%
$69,710 交易量
$69,710 交易量
2026-12-31
不握手
5%
<2秒
3%
2–6秒
9%
6–10秒
12%
10–15秒
27%
15秒及以上
42%
仅被拍照
2%
15秒及以上 42%
10–15秒 32%
6–10秒 12%
2–6秒 9%
$69,710 交易量
$69,710 交易量
2026-12-31
不握手
$11,680 交易量
5%
<2秒
$14,016 交易量
3%
2–6秒
$11,409 交易量
9%
6–10秒
$4,483 交易量
12%
10–15秒
$4,272 交易量
27%
15秒及以上
$11,069 交易量
42%
仅被拍照
$12,780 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors prolonged handshakes of 15 seconds or more at 42%, reflecting historical precedents from Trump-Xi summits, including a 27-second grip in past bilateral meetings and optics-heavy greetings at events like the G20. Recent diplomatic thaw bolsters this positioning: President Trump's April 15 remarks touting a forthcoming "big, fat hug" from Xi Jinping amid China's cooperation in nudging Iran toward ceasefire and pledging no arms shipments, alongside reports of a potential May Beijing summit, signal cordiality that elevates 10–15s (26.5%) and 6–10s (12%) probabilities. Low odds on no handshake (5.1%) stem from confirmed summit momentum, though exact timing remains fluid before December 31, 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
市场开放时间： Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ET
交易量
$69,710结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.Trader consensus favors prolonged handshakes of 15 seconds or more at 42%, reflecting historical precedents from Trump-Xi summits, including a 27-second grip in past bilateral meetings and optics-heavy greetings at events like the G20. Recent diplomatic thaw bolsters this positioning: President Trump's April 15 remarks touting a forthcoming "big, fat hug" from Xi Jinping amid China's cooperation in nudging Iran toward ceasefire and pledging no arms shipments, alongside reports of a potential May Beijing summit, signal cordiality that elevates 10–15s (26.5%) and 6–10s (12%) probabilities. Low odds on no handshake (5.1%) stem from confirmed summit momentum, though exact timing remains fluid before December 31, 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during the day of their next meeting in 2026 (in the local timezone of the location of their next meeting). Any handshake recorded on that date will qualify.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
The resolution source will be video footage.
交易量
$69,710结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 10, 2026, 6:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors prolonged handshakes of 15 seconds or more at 42%, reflecting historical precedents from Trump-Xi summits, including a 27-second grip in past bilateral meetings and optics-heavy greetings at events like the G20. Recent diplomatic thaw bolsters this positioning: President Trump's April 15 remarks touting a forthcoming "big, fat hug" from Xi Jinping amid China's cooperation in nudging Iran toward ceasefire and pledging no arms shipments, alongside reports of a potential May Beijing summit, signal cordiality that elevates 10–15s (26.5%) and 6–10s (12%) probabilities. Low odds on no handshake (5.1%) stem from confirmed summit momentum, though exact timing remains fluid before December 31, 2026 resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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