Skip to main content
icon for 习近平是否会在2027年之前访问美国?

习近平是否会在2027年之前访问美国?

icon for 习近平是否会在2027年之前访问美国?

习近平是否会在2027年之前访问美国?

91% 概率
Polymarket

$371,678 交易量

91% 概率
Polymarket

$371,678 交易量

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Recent diplomatic developments strongly underpin the elevated trader consensus around a Xi Jinping visit to the United States before 2027.** In mid-May 2026, during President Trump’s state visit to Beijing, the two leaders held summit talks focused on trade, economic cooperation, and bilateral stability. Trump extended a formal invitation for Xi to make a state visit to the White House on September 24, 2026, which Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi later confirmed as accepted. This marks the first such Chinese state visit to the US in over a decade and falls well within the market’s timeframe. Multiple official readouts and reporting from both sides have referenced the planned autumn trip without noted delays or conditions that would push it past 2026. Traders appear to view the reciprocal diplomatic schedule, combined with both leaders’ emphasis on managed relations ahead of upcoming multilateral forums, as creating a high likelihood of the visit occurring on or near the announced timeline. While geopolitical frictions could still intervene, the confirmed invitation and public commitments provide the dominant recent catalyst for the current pricing.

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$371,678
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Recent diplomatic developments strongly underpin the elevated trader consensus around a Xi Jinping visit to the United States before 2027.** In mid-May 2026, during President Trump’s state visit to Beijing, the two leaders held summit talks focused on trade, economic cooperation, and bilateral stability. Trump extended a formal invitation for Xi to make a state visit to the White House on September 24, 2026, which Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi later confirmed as accepted. This marks the first such Chinese state visit to the US in over a decade and falls well within the market’s timeframe. Multiple official readouts and reporting from both sides have referenced the planned autumn trip without noted delays or conditions that would push it past 2026. Traders appear to view the reciprocal diplomatic schedule, combined with both leaders’ emphasis on managed relations ahead of upcoming multilateral forums, as creating a high likelihood of the visit occurring on or near the announced timeline. While geopolitical frictions could still intervene, the confirmed invitation and public commitments provide the dominant recent catalyst for the current pricing.

If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$371,678
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Feb 13, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"习近平是否会在2027年之前访问美国?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"习近平会在2027年前访问美国吗?",概率为 91%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 91¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 91%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"习近平是否会在2027年之前访问美国?"已产生 $371.7K 的总交易量(自Feb 13, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"习近平是否会在2027年之前访问美国?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"习近平是否会在2027年之前访问美国?"的当前领先者是"习近平会在2027年前访问美国吗?",概率为 91%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 91%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"习近平是否会在2027年之前访问美国?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。