No notable diplomatic announcements or official commitments have emerged in the past 30 days regarding countries joining the Board of Peace by the March 31 deadline, leaving trader sentiment anchored to prior positioning amid stagnant international negotiations. This obscure multilateral peace initiative lacks recent catalysts such as foreign ministry statements, summits, or treaty ratifications to shift probabilities, with consensus reflecting uncertainty over participation from key actors like major powers or regional influencers. Bettors should monitor upcoming UN sessions, bilateral talks, or executive actions in the resolution window, as late-breaking endorsements could rapidly alter implied probabilities in this low-liquidity market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$2,794,015 交易量
巴西
6%
印度
3%
意大利
3%
比利时
1%
芬兰
1%
瑞典
1%
法国
1%
英国
1%
德国
1%
俄罗斯
1%
丹麦
1%
荷兰
1%
西班牙
1%
瑞士
1%
挪威
<1%
巴勒斯坦
<1%
乌克兰
<1%
中国
<1%
$2,794,015 交易量
巴西
6%
印度
3%
意大利
3%
比利时
1%
芬兰
1%
瑞典
1%
法国
1%
英国
1%
德国
1%
俄罗斯
1%
丹麦
1%
荷兰
1%
西班牙
1%
瑞士
1%
挪威
<1%
巴勒斯坦
<1%
乌克兰
<1%
中国
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 21, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
No notable diplomatic announcements or official commitments have emerged in the past 30 days regarding countries joining the Board of Peace by the March 31 deadline, leaving trader sentiment anchored to prior positioning amid stagnant international negotiations. This obscure multilateral peace initiative lacks recent catalysts such as foreign ministry statements, summits, or treaty ratifications to shift probabilities, with consensus reflecting uncertainty over participation from key actors like major powers or regional influencers. Bettors should monitor upcoming UN sessions, bilateral talks, or executive actions in the resolution window, as late-breaking endorsements could rapidly alter implied probabilities in this low-liquidity market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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