Saudi Arabia's November 2023 launch of the Board of Peace at the Riyadh Arab-Islamic Summit initially drew pledges from 22 nations, fueling early optimism, but trader consensus now hinges on sparse official accessions amid diplomatic overtures. Recent foreign minister visits from Turkey, Pakistan, and Kazakhstan signal momentum, yet no comprehensive public roster exists, with only informal expressions from UAE, Qatar, Indonesia, and Azerbaijan. Uncertainty persists over formal commitments before the March 31 deadline, potentially tied to upcoming UN sessions or bilateral talks, as markets price in delays common to multilateral peace initiatives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1,878,926 交易量
印度
4%
俄罗斯
2%
巴西
2%
巴勒斯坦
2%
乌克兰
2%
德国
2%
意大利
2%
比利时
1%
英国
1%
瑞典
1%
挪威
1%
法国
1%
西班牙
1%
丹麦
1%
瑞士
1%
芬兰
1%
中国
1%
荷兰
<1%
$1,878,926 交易量
印度
4%
俄罗斯
2%
巴西
2%
巴勒斯坦
2%
乌克兰
2%
德国
2%
意大利
2%
比利时
1%
英国
1%
瑞典
1%
挪威
1%
法国
1%
西班牙
1%
丹麦
1%
瑞士
1%
芬兰
1%
中国
1%
荷兰
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met:
- That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state.
- Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace).
Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count.
Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join.
Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 20, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Saudi Arabia's November 2023 launch of the Board of Peace at the Riyadh Arab-Islamic Summit initially drew pledges from 22 nations, fueling early optimism, but trader consensus now hinges on sparse official accessions amid diplomatic overtures. Recent foreign minister visits from Turkey, Pakistan, and Kazakhstan signal momentum, yet no comprehensive public roster exists, with only informal expressions from UAE, Qatar, Indonesia, and Azerbaijan. Uncertainty persists over formal commitments before the March 31 deadline, potentially tied to upcoming UN sessions or bilateral talks, as markets price in delays common to multilateral peace initiatives.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题