Market icon

What will Biden say during the debate?

$238,289 交易量

Jun 27, 2024
Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Convicted Felon" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
交易量
$238,289
结束日期
Jun 27, 2024
创建时间
Jun 20, 2024, 7:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Convicted Felon" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Biden say during the debate?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Convicted Felon" at 100%, followed by "Israel" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Biden say during the debate?" has generated $238.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 20, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Biden say during the debate?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Biden say during the debate?" is "Convicted Felon" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Israel" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Biden say during the debate?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

What will Biden say during the debate?

$238,289 交易量

Polymarket

Convicted Felon

$27,611 交易量

Yes

Israel

$20,663 交易量

Yes

AI

$18,096 交易量

No

Folks 3+ times

$14,604 交易量

No

Malarkey

$26,953 交易量

Yes

Cornpop

$31,460 交易量

No

January 6

$8,395 交易量

Yes

Shut up

$45,507 交易量

No

Obama

$15,338 交易量

No

Inflation

$12,666 交易量

Yes

Come on

$7,832 交易量

Yes

Woke

$701 交易量

No

Zyn

$8,462 交易量

No

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Biden say during the debate?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Convicted Felon" at 100%, followed by "Israel" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Biden say during the debate?" has generated $238.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 20, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Biden say during the debate?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Biden say during the debate?" is "Convicted Felon" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Israel" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Biden say during the debate?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.