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美国与伊朗的外交会晤由... ?

Market icon

美国与伊朗的外交会晤由... ?

$23,382,786 交易量

Feb 13, 2026
Polymarket

$23,382,786 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

2月6日

$22,688,334 交易量

Market icon

2月13日

$694,452 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy on behalf of their government. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.

The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$23,382,786
结束日期
Feb 13, 2026
市场开放时间
Feb 3, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Official diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy on behalf of their government. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, meetings through a third-party relaying messages (not including translators), or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present and interacting with each other will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: 是

有争议

已提议结果: 是

有争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"美国与伊朗的外交会晤由... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2月6日" at 100%, followed by "2月13日" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "美国与伊朗的外交会晤由... ?" has generated $23.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "美国与伊朗的外交会晤由... ?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "美国与伊朗的外交会晤由... ?" is "2月6日" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2月13日" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "美国与伊朗的外交会晤由... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.