Amid escalating aerial warfare in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukrainian forces targeted Moscow with drones for four consecutive days around March 17, launching at least 40 in one strike, though Russian air defenses intercepted most over the capital and other regions. This followed Ukraine's large-scale drone barrages deeper into Russia on March 21, aiming to disrupt Moscow's spring offensive preparations. Russia responded with its largest 24-hour drone assault to date on March 24-25, firing nearly 1,000 drones and missiles at Ukrainian cities, killing at least seven and damaging energy infrastructure. No confirmed Ukrainian strikes have reached Moscow proper in the past 30 days, reflecting robust Russian defenses, but ongoing incursions signal sustained pressure ahead of potential frontline escalations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$137,308 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
3月31日
4%
4月15日
9%
4月30日
19%
$137,308 交易量
3月31日
$21,049 交易量
4%
4月15日
$163 交易量
9%
4月30日
$25 交易量
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Amid escalating aerial warfare in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukrainian forces targeted Moscow with drones for four consecutive days around March 17, launching at least 40 in one strike, though Russian air defenses intercepted most over the capital and other regions. This followed Ukraine's large-scale drone barrages deeper into Russia on March 21, aiming to disrupt Moscow's spring offensive preparations. Russia responded with its largest 24-hour drone assault to date on March 24-25, firing nearly 1,000 drones and missiles at Ukrainian cities, killing at least seven and damaging energy infrastructure. No confirmed Ukrainian strikes have reached Moscow proper in the past 30 days, reflecting robust Russian defenses, but ongoing incursions signal sustained pressure ahead of potential frontline escalations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
交易量
$137,308结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Amid escalating aerial warfare in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukrainian forces targeted Moscow with drones for four consecutive days around March 17, launching at least 40 in one strike, though Russian air defenses intercepted most over the capital and other regions. This followed Ukraine's large-scale drone barrages deeper into Russia on March 21, aiming to disrupt Moscow's spring offensive preparations. Russia responded with its largest 24-hour drone assault to date on March 24-25, firing nearly 1,000 drones and missiles at Ukrainian cities, killing at least seven and damaging energy infrastructure. No confirmed Ukrainian strikes have reached Moscow proper in the past 30 days, reflecting robust Russian defenses, but ongoing incursions signal sustained pressure ahead of potential frontline escalations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$137,308结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating aerial warfare in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukrainian forces targeted Moscow with drones for four consecutive days around March 17, launching at least 40 in one strike, though Russian air defenses intercepted most over the capital and other regions. This followed Ukraine's large-scale drone barrages deeper into Russia on March 21, aiming to disrupt Moscow's spring offensive preparations. Russia responded with its largest 24-hour drone assault to date on March 24-25, firing nearly 1,000 drones and missiles at Ukrainian cities, killing at least seven and damaging energy infrastructure. No confirmed Ukrainian strikes have reached Moscow proper in the past 30 days, reflecting robust Russian defenses, but ongoing incursions signal sustained pressure ahead of potential frontline escalations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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