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Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

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Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?

155-160m 100.0%

170-175m <1%

175m+ <1%

<130m <1%

Polymarket

$28,705,001 交易量

155-160m 100.0%

170-175m <1%

175m+ <1%

<130m <1%

Polymarket

$28,705,001 交易量

<130m

$1,159,157 交易量

No

130-135m

$3,029,553 交易量

No

135-140m

$818,335 交易量

No

140-145m

$797,468 交易量

No

145-150m

$2,242,241 交易量

No

150-155m

$5,616,004 交易量

No

155-160m

$4,035,462 交易量

Yes

160-165m

$1,159,227 交易量

No

165-170m

$4,583,437 交易量

No

170-175m

$4,648,304 交易量

No

175m+

$615,812 交易量

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are less 130,000,000 votes cast in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the total number of votes in the 2024 Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered.

If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$28,705,001
结束日期
Nov 5, 2024
市场开放时间
Oct 23, 2024, 12:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are less 130,000,000 votes cast in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the total number of votes in the 2024 Presidential election according to uselectionatlas.org once their dataset includes the certified vote totals for all U.S. States and the District of Columbia. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after uselectionatlas.org has published vote totals based on the final certifications, the recount will not be considered. If there are no outstanding recounts, and electionatlas.org has not published total vote numbers based on the state certified results by December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the total vote numbers from the United States Elections Project (electproject.org). If the United States Elections Project has not published certified vote totals, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "155-160m" at 100%, followed by "<130m" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?" has generated $28.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 23, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?" is "155-160m" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<130m" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Turnout in 2024 Presidential election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.