SpaceX's confidential IPO filing, reported just hours ago, has propelled trader consensus to 93.5% implied probability for a closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion before 2028, reflecting Starlink's explosive revenue growth to over $13 billion annually at 40% year-over-year and the company's dominance in reusable rocket launches via Falcon 9 and Starship milestones. Private valuations have surged from $350 billion in recent tenders to $800 billion, with reports targeting $1.5–1.75 trillion in a potential June listing raising $50–75 billion—the largest IPO ever. Regulatory approvals for Starlink expansion and Elon Musk's cross-portfolio synergies bolster this positioning, though macroeconomic volatility, lofty 100x+ sales multiples, or S-1 disclosures revealing execution risks could trigger delays or valuation compression. Watch for the public prospectus and roadshow details.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于1T+ 94%
在 2028 年之前不上市 3.3%
9000亿美元–1万亿美元 <1%
<5000亿美元 <1%
$2,934,747 交易量
$2,934,747 交易量
2027-12-31
<5000亿美元
<1%
5,000亿美元–6,000亿美元
<1%
6000亿美元–7000亿美元
<1%
7000亿美元–8000亿美元
<1%
8000亿美元–9000亿美元
<1%
9000亿美元–1万亿美元
1%
1T+
94%
在 2028 年之前不上市
3%
1T+ 94%
在 2028 年之前不上市 3.3%
9000亿美元–1万亿美元 <1%
<5000亿美元 <1%
$2,934,747 交易量
$2,934,747 交易量
2027-12-31
<5000亿美元
$331,881 交易量
<1%
5,000亿美元–6,000亿美元
$265,640 交易量
<1%
6000亿美元–7000亿美元
$242,061 交易量
<1%
7000亿美元–8000亿美元
$266,629 交易量
<1%
8000亿美元–9000亿美元
$437,024 交易量
<1%
9000亿美元–1万亿美元
$363,176 交易量
1%
1T+
$518,906 交易量
94%
在 2028 年之前不上市
$509,430 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential IPO filing, reported just hours ago, has propelled trader consensus to 93.5% implied probability for a closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion before 2028, reflecting Starlink's explosive revenue growth to over $13 billion annually at 40% year-over-year and the company's dominance in reusable rocket launches via Falcon 9 and Starship milestones. Private valuations have surged from $350 billion in recent tenders to $800 billion, with reports targeting $1.5–1.75 trillion in a potential June listing raising $50–75 billion—the largest IPO ever. Regulatory approvals for Starlink expansion and Elon Musk's cross-portfolio synergies bolster this positioning, though macroeconomic volatility, lofty 100x+ sales multiples, or S-1 disclosures revealing execution risks could trigger delays or valuation compression. Watch for the public prospectus and roadshow details.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
交易量
$2,934,747结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential IPO filing, reported just hours ago, has propelled trader consensus to 93.5% implied probability for a closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion before 2028, reflecting Starlink's explosive revenue growth to over $13 billion annually at 40% year-over-year and the company's dominance in reusable rocket launches via Falcon 9 and Starship milestones. Private valuations have surged from $350 billion in recent tenders to $800 billion, with reports targeting $1.5–1.75 trillion in a potential June listing raising $50–75 billion—the largest IPO ever. Regulatory approvals for Starlink expansion and Elon Musk's cross-portfolio synergies bolster this positioning, though macroeconomic volatility, lofty 100x+ sales multiples, or S-1 disclosures revealing execution risks could trigger delays or valuation compression. Watch for the public prospectus and roadshow details.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$2,934,747结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential IPO filing, reported just hours ago, has propelled trader consensus to 93.5% implied probability for a closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion before 2028, reflecting Starlink's explosive revenue growth to over $13 billion annually at 40% year-over-year and the company's dominance in reusable rocket launches via Falcon 9 and Starship milestones. Private valuations have surged from $350 billion in recent tenders to $800 billion, with reports targeting $1.5–1.75 trillion in a potential June listing raising $50–75 billion—the largest IPO ever. Regulatory approvals for Starlink expansion and Elon Musk's cross-portfolio synergies bolster this positioning, though macroeconomic volatility, lofty 100x+ sales multiples, or S-1 disclosures revealing execution risks could trigger delays or valuation compression. Watch for the public prospectus and roadshow details.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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