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选举·主要

SC-01共和党初选获胜者

Market icon
选举·主要

SC-01共和党初选获胜者

Alex Pelbath 42%

马克·史密斯 40%

Sam McCown 19%

珍妮·科斯塔·霍尼卡特 5.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Alex Pelbath 42%

马克·史密斯 40%

Sam McCown 19%

珍妮·科斯塔·霍尼卡特 5.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Alex Pelbath

$1,152 交易量

42%

马克·史密斯

$0 交易量

40%

Sam McCown

$0 交易量

14%

珍妮·科斯塔·霍尼卡特

$363 交易量

6%

Jack Ellison

$0 交易量

6%

Logan Cunningham

$0 交易量

2%

杰伊·拜亚斯

$0 交易量

1%

贾斯汀·迈尔斯

$0 交易量

<1%

丹·布朗

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open SC-01 Republican primary—sparked by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid—state Rep. Mark Smith and Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath share trader consensus at 39% each, reflecting a fragmented field lacking a dominant frontrunner. Smith's edge stems from strong local support, including a February Beaufort County GOP straw poll win and leading fundraising ($601K raised through late 2025), while Pelbath's recent March 18 filing amplifies his Trump-aligned veteran profile from piloting the final Afghanistan evacuation flight. Physician Sam McCown trails at 18% with outsider appeal. The race stays tight absent recent statewide polls; endorsements, debates, or late filers like speculated Mark Sanford could consolidate support before the June 9 primary.

In the open SC-01 Republican primary—sparked by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid—state Rep. Mark Smith and Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath share trader consensus at 39% each, reflecting a fragmented field lacking a dominant frontrunner. Smith's edge stems from strong local support, including a February Beaufort County GOP straw poll win and leading fundraising ($601K raised through late 2025), while Pelbath's recent March 18 filing amplifies his Trump-aligned veteran profile from piloting the final Afghanistan evacuation flight. Physician Sam McCown trails at 18% with outsider appeal. The race stays tight absent recent statewide polls; endorsements, debates, or late filers like speculated Mark Sanford could consolidate support before the June 9 primary.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open SC-01 Republican primary—sparked by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid—state Rep. Mark Smith and Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath share trader consensus at 39% each, reflecting a fragmented field lacking a dominant frontrunner. Smith's edge stems from strong local support, including a February Beaufort County GOP straw poll win and leading fundraising ($601K raised through late 2025), while Pelbath's recent March 18 filing amplifies his Trump-aligned veteran profile from piloting the final Afghanistan evacuation flight. Physician Sam McCown trails at 18% with outsider appeal. The race stays tight absent recent statewide polls; endorsements, debates, or late filers like speculated Mark Sanford could consolidate support before the June 9 primary.

In the open SC-01 Republican primary—sparked by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid—state Rep. Mark Smith and Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath share trader consensus at 39% each, reflecting a fragmented field lacking a dominant frontrunner. Smith's edge stems from strong local support, including a February Beaufort County GOP straw poll win and leading fundraising ($601K raised through late 2025), while Pelbath's recent March 18 filing amplifies his Trump-aligned veteran profile from piloting the final Afghanistan evacuation flight. Physician Sam McCown trails at 18% with outsider appeal. The race stays tight absent recent statewide polls; endorsements, debates, or late filers like speculated Mark Sanford could consolidate support before the June 9 primary.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"SC-01共和党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Alex Pelbath"，概率为 42%，其次是"马克·史密斯"，概率为 40%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 42¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 42%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"SC-01共和党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Dec 18, 2025上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"SC-01共和党初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"SC-01共和党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"Alex Pelbath"，概率为 42%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 42%。紧随其后的结果是"马克·史密斯"，概率为 40%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"SC-01共和党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。