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12月31日最富有的人是谁?

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12月31日最富有的人是谁?

埃隆·马斯克 100.0%

分组项标题:马克·扎克伯格 <1%

杰夫·贝索斯 <1%

沃伦·巴菲特 <1%

Polymarket

$3,846,845 交易量

埃隆·马斯克 100.0%

分组项标题:马克·扎克伯格 <1%

杰夫·贝索斯 <1%

沃伦·巴菲特 <1%

Polymarket

$3,846,845 交易量

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埃隆·马斯克

$610,909 交易量

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分组项标题:马克·扎克伯格

$204,708 交易量

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杰夫·贝索斯

$392,306 交易量

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沃伦·巴菲特

$703,924 交易量

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分组项标题:拉里·埃里森

$355,418 交易量

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贝尔纳德·阿诺特

$911,181 交易量

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黄仁勋

$668,397 交易量

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2025, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$3,846,845
结束日期
Dec 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2025, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"12月31日最富有的人是谁?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "埃隆·马斯克" at 100%, followed by "分组项标题:马克·扎克伯格" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "12月31日最富有的人是谁?" has generated $3.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "12月31日最富有的人是谁?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "12月31日最富有的人是谁?" is "埃隆·马斯克" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "分组项标题:马克·扎克伯格" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "12月31日最富有的人是谁?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.