Polymarket traders price a 64% implied probability that the March 2026 U.S. city average retail price for a dozen Grade A large eggs falls in the $2.25–2.50 range, reflecting sustained supply recovery from 2025 avian flu outbreaks that drove peaks above $6 per dozen. February's BLS-reported average of $2.50/dozen provides the baseline, while USDA weekly reports show national wholesale loose large white shell egg prices plunging from $1.50/dozen mid-March to $0.46/dozen by April 3 amid light demand, adequate inventories, and no new highly pathogenic avian influenza cases—15.2 million birds lost year-to-date but flocks rebounding. The adjacent $2.50–2.75 bin at 22% captures potential ad price stabilization around $2.65 for cage-free, with higher bins below 2% signaling resolved upside risks. Traders await BLS March CPI release on April 10 for final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$2.25–2.50 64%
$2.50–2.75 22%
$2.00–2.25 6.6%
<$2.00 1.8%
$397,511 交易量
$397,511 交易量
2026-04-10
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
7%
$2.25–2.50
64%
$2.50–2.75
22%
$2.75–3.00
2%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
$2.25–2.50 64%
$2.50–2.75 22%
$2.00–2.25 6.6%
<$2.00 1.8%
$397,511 交易量
$397,511 交易量
2026-04-10
<$2.00
$103,454 交易量
2%
$2.00–2.25
$3,921 交易量
7%
$2.25–2.50
$10,676 交易量
64%
$2.50–2.75
$7,233 交易量
22%
$2.75–3.00
$19,978 交易量
2%
$3.00–3.25
$3,493 交易量
1%
$3.25–3.50
$46,113 交易量
<1%
$3.50–3.75
$17,262 交易量
1%
$3.75–4.00
$27,484 交易量
<1%
≥$4.00
$157,898 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the March data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Polymarket traders price a 64% implied probability that the March 2026 U.S. city average retail price for a dozen Grade A large eggs falls in the $2.25–2.50 range, reflecting sustained supply recovery from 2025 avian flu outbreaks that drove peaks above $6 per dozen. February's BLS-reported average of $2.50/dozen provides the baseline, while USDA weekly reports show national wholesale loose large white shell egg prices plunging from $1.50/dozen mid-March to $0.46/dozen by April 3 amid light demand, adequate inventories, and no new highly pathogenic avian influenza cases—15.2 million birds lost year-to-date but flocks rebounding. The adjacent $2.50–2.75 bin at 22% captures potential ad price stabilization around $2.65 for cage-free, with higher bins below 2% signaling resolved upside risks. Traders await BLS March CPI release on April 10 for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the March data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
交易量
$397,511结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the March data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Polymarket traders price a 64% implied probability that the March 2026 U.S. city average retail price for a dozen Grade A large eggs falls in the $2.25–2.50 range, reflecting sustained supply recovery from 2025 avian flu outbreaks that drove peaks above $6 per dozen. February's BLS-reported average of $2.50/dozen provides the baseline, while USDA weekly reports show national wholesale loose large white shell egg prices plunging from $1.50/dozen mid-March to $0.46/dozen by April 3 amid light demand, adequate inventories, and no new highly pathogenic avian influenza cases—15.2 million birds lost year-to-date but flocks rebounding. The adjacent $2.50–2.75 bin at 22% captures potential ad price stabilization around $2.65 for cage-free, with higher bins below 2% signaling resolved upside risks. Traders await BLS March CPI release on April 10 for final resolution.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the March data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
交易量
$397,511结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 64% implied probability that the March 2026 U.S. city average retail price for a dozen Grade A large eggs falls in the $2.25–2.50 range, reflecting sustained supply recovery from 2025 avian flu outbreaks that drove peaks above $6 per dozen. February's BLS-reported average of $2.50/dozen provides the baseline, while USDA weekly reports show national wholesale loose large white shell egg prices plunging from $1.50/dozen mid-March to $0.46/dozen by April 3 amid light demand, adequate inventories, and no new highly pathogenic avian influenza cases—15.2 million birds lost year-to-date but flocks rebounding. The adjacent $2.50–2.75 bin at 22% captures potential ad price stabilization around $2.65 for cage-free, with higher bins below 2% signaling resolved upside risks. Traders await BLS March CPI release on April 10 for final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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