Trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat at 64.5% to win the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, mirroring a late-March poll among 826 Hispanic voters showing him at 65% support, bolstered by his $1.1 million fundraising edge over challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier's $136,000. Major unions like DC37, 1199SEIU, and 32BJ endorsed Espaillat around March 29, committing to signature collection and voter turnout drives in the closed primary. Avila Chevalier commands 28.5% with DSA and Justice Democrats backing, appealing to progressives in the young, renter-heavy Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx district, amid a recent DSA rally highlighting the left challenge, while minor candidates like Oscar Romero lag below 5%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于阿德里亚诺·埃斯派拉特 65%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 29%
奥斯卡·罗梅罗 4.5%
James Felton Keith 3.0%
最新
最新
2026-06-23
阿德里亚诺·埃斯派拉特
65%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
29%
奥斯卡·罗梅罗
5%
James Felton Keith
3%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
1%
马特·米勒
1%
贾利尔·阿马多
<1%
梅根·罗德里格斯
<1%
阿德里亚诺·埃斯派拉特 65%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 29%
奥斯卡·罗梅罗 4.5%
James Felton Keith 3.0%
最新
最新
2026-06-23
阿德里亚诺·埃斯派拉特
$1,413 交易量
65%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
$1,018 交易量
29%
奥斯卡·罗梅罗
$2,745 交易量
5%
James Felton Keith
$608 交易量
3%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
$554 交易量
1%
马特·米勒
$969 交易量
1%
贾利尔·阿马多
$531 交易量
<1%
梅根·罗德里格斯
$733 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat at 64.5% to win the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, mirroring a late-March poll among 826 Hispanic voters showing him at 65% support, bolstered by his $1.1 million fundraising edge over challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier's $136,000. Major unions like DC37, 1199SEIU, and 32BJ endorsed Espaillat around March 29, committing to signature collection and voter turnout drives in the closed primary. Avila Chevalier commands 28.5% with DSA and Justice Democrats backing, appealing to progressives in the young, renter-heavy Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx district, amid a recent DSA rally highlighting the left challenge, while minor candidates like Oscar Romero lag below 5%.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
交易量
$8,572结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat at 64.5% to win the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, mirroring a late-March poll among 826 Hispanic voters showing him at 65% support, bolstered by his $1.1 million fundraising edge over challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier's $136,000. Major unions like DC37, 1199SEIU, and 32BJ endorsed Espaillat around March 29, committing to signature collection and voter turnout drives in the closed primary. Avila Chevalier commands 28.5% with DSA and Justice Democrats backing, appealing to progressives in the young, renter-heavy Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx district, amid a recent DSA rally highlighting the left challenge, while minor candidates like Oscar Romero lag below 5%.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$8,572结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat at 64.5% to win the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, mirroring a late-March poll among 826 Hispanic voters showing him at 65% support, bolstered by his $1.1 million fundraising edge over challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier's $136,000. Major unions like DC37, 1199SEIU, and 32BJ endorsed Espaillat around March 29, committing to signature collection and voter turnout drives in the closed primary. Avila Chevalier commands 28.5% with DSA and Justice Democrats backing, appealing to progressives in the young, renter-heavy Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx district, amid a recent DSA rally highlighting the left challenge, while minor candidates like Oscar Romero lag below 5%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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