Miguel Díaz-Canel's re-election in October 2023 by Cuba's National Assembly for a second five-year presidential term through 2028 underpins trader consensus pricing a 56.5% chance he remains in office by June 30, amid no official announcements of resignation, succession plans, or Communist Party maneuvers signaling change. Persistent economic turmoil—including nationwide blackouts, food shortages, and protests in Santiago de Cuba in March 2024—has spurred online speculation about leadership instability, but authorities contained unrest without political concessions or internal purges. The regime's opaque structure and firm party control limit near-term disruption risks, though unverified health rumors or escalating crises could shift dynamics before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$200,745 交易量
$200,745 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
是
$200,745 交易量
$200,745 交易量
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市场开放时间： Nov 18, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
交易量
$200,745结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 4:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$200,745结束日期
Jun 30, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 4:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Miguel Díaz-Canel's re-election in October 2023 by Cuba's National Assembly for a second five-year presidential term through 2028 underpins trader consensus pricing a 56.5% chance he remains in office by June 30, amid no official announcements of resignation, succession plans, or Communist Party maneuvers signaling change. Persistent economic turmoil—including nationwide blackouts, food shortages, and protests in Santiago de Cuba in March 2024—has spurred online speculation about leadership instability, but authorities contained unrest without political concessions or internal purges. The regime's opaque structure and firm party control limit near-term disruption risks, though unverified health rumors or escalating crises could shift dynamics before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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