Trader consensus in the Maine Republican gubernatorial primary strongly favors Robert Charles at 62%, driven by his commanding leads in recent polls—such as a mid-September survey showing him at 41%—and superior fundraising, with over $200,000 raised compared to rivals' totals under $100,000. Ben Midgley holds second at 14.5% amid buzz from his military background and recent campaign stops, while Jonathan Bush at 12.3% benefits from family political ties but trails in voter surveys. David Jones at 9% gains from conservative endorsements, though fragmented field support dilutes challengers. No major shifts since early October filings, with the March 2026 primary looming as the next catalyst.