Charles Hittler's commanding 99.7% implied probability in the Arcis-sur-Aube mayoral election stems from his Rassemblement National-backed list securing an absolute majority of 59.5% in the first round of partial municipals on March 17, electing the full town council and mayor without a runoff. Official results from the prefecture confirmed no qualifying rival lists, sidelining Antoine Renault-Zielinski's outgoing divers gauche coalition and Annie Soucat's group. With no second round scheduled and no appeals filed, traders see negligible risk of reversal. Only a rare administrative invalidation or court ruling could shift odds, though historical precedents for such disruptions in small-town municipals are minimal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Charles Hittler 99.6%
Antoine Renault-Zielinski <1%
Annie Soucat <1%
$5,487 交易量
$5,487 交易量
Mar 22, 2026
Charles Hittler
100%
Antoine Renault-Zielinski
<1%
Annie Soucat
<1%
Charles Hittler 99.6%
Antoine Renault-Zielinski <1%
Annie Soucat <1%
$5,487 交易量
$5,487 交易量
Mar 22, 2026
Charles Hittler
$5,487 交易量
100%
Antoine Renault-Zielinski
$0 交易量
<1%
Annie Soucat
$0 交易量
<1%
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
交易量
$5,487结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 9:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Arcis-sur-Aube is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$5,487结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 9:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Charles Hittler's commanding 99.7% implied probability in the Arcis-sur-Aube mayoral election stems from his Rassemblement National-backed list securing an absolute majority of 59.5% in the first round of partial municipals on March 17, electing the full town council and mayor without a runoff. Official results from the prefecture confirmed no qualifying rival lists, sidelining Antoine Renault-Zielinski's outgoing divers gauche coalition and Annie Soucat's group. With no second round scheduled and no appeals filed, traders see negligible risk of reversal. Only a rare administrative invalidation or court ruling could shift odds, though historical precedents for such disruptions in small-town municipals are minimal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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