Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C at Ben Gurion International Airport (99.9%+ implied probability), driven by latest hourly observations and short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models like ECMWF and GFS, which pinpointed peak daytime heating around midday to early afternoon under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Current late-afternoon readings near 21°C (70°F) align with this, as solar heating wanes toward sunset near 18:30 IDT, consistent with March climatology averaging 20°C highs but elevated slightly by stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late heat burst or instrument recalibration, though inherent forecast uncertainty is minimal this close to resolution via official NOAA airport data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月28日特拉维夫最高气温?
3月28日特拉维夫最高气温?
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C或更高 <1%
$62,615 交易量
$62,615 交易量
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
24°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C或更高 <1%
$62,615 交易量
$62,615 交易量
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 24°C at Ben Gurion International Airport (99.9%+ implied probability), driven by latest hourly observations and short-range forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models like ECMWF and GFS, which pinpointed peak daytime heating around midday to early afternoon under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Current late-afternoon readings near 21°C (70°F) align with this, as solar heating wanes toward sunset near 18:30 IDT, consistent with March climatology averaging 20°C highs but elevated slightly by stable atmospheric conditions. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late heat burst or instrument recalibration, though inherent forecast uncertainty is minimal this close to resolution via official NOAA airport data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题