Ensemble weather models from NOAA and ECMWF drive the tight race among 66-71°F outcomes for Atlanta's March 28 high temperature, with trader consensus implying a 72% probability in this range amid a building high-pressure ridge over the Southeast. Leading 70-71°F odds (25.5%) reflect the GFS 00Z run's peak forecast of 71°F under sunny skies, while 68-69°F (23.5%) and 66-67°F (23%) account for ECMWF's cooler 68°F projection due to lingering mid-level clouds from an approaching shortwave trough. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary layer mixing and diurnally driven instability, against Atlanta's late-March climatological mean of 68°F; a 12Z update today could shift odds if front timing adjusts. Uncertainty persists in low-level moisture feedback.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月28日亚特兰大最高温度?
3月28日亚特兰大最高温度?
66-67°F 28%
70-71°F 26%
68-69°F 24%
72-73°F 20%
55°F或以下
1%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
20%
74°F或更高
13%
66-67°F 28%
70-71°F 26%
68-69°F 24%
72-73°F 20%
55°F或以下
1%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
20%
74°F或更高
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from NOAA and ECMWF drive the tight race among 66-71°F outcomes for Atlanta's March 28 high temperature, with trader consensus implying a 72% probability in this range amid a building high-pressure ridge over the Southeast. Leading 70-71°F odds (25.5%) reflect the GFS 00Z run's peak forecast of 71°F under sunny skies, while 68-69°F (23.5%) and 66-67°F (23%) account for ECMWF's cooler 68°F projection due to lingering mid-level clouds from an approaching shortwave trough. Differentiating factors include model spread on boundary layer mixing and diurnally driven instability, against Atlanta's late-March climatological mean of 68°F; a 12Z update today could shift odds if front timing adjusts. Uncertainty persists in low-level moisture feedback.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题