Trader consensus favors 82-85°F ranges for Miami's highest temperature on March 28, with the National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) and Global Forecast System (GFS) projecting peaks around 83°F amid tight clustering that keeps odds closely matched. Minor model divergences stem from uncertainties in afternoon sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow could cap 80-81°F by enhancing coastal cooling, while delayed progression allows mid-80s inland under sunny skies from a dominant upper-level ridge promoting southerly warm air advection. Recent Miami soundings confirm dry air aloft stabilizing the atmosphere and limiting clouds, while climatological March highs average 80°F with ±3°F variability. Watch today's 12z ECMWF and GFS updates for refined sea breeze forecasts influencing final heating potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月28日迈阿密气温最高?
3月28日迈阿密气温最高?
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 25%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 14%
73°F或以下
2%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92°F或更高
<1%
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 25%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 14%
73°F或以下
2%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 82-85°F ranges for Miami's highest temperature on March 28, with the National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) and Global Forecast System (GFS) projecting peaks around 83°F amid tight clustering that keeps odds closely matched. Minor model divergences stem from uncertainties in afternoon sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow could cap 80-81°F by enhancing coastal cooling, while delayed progression allows mid-80s inland under sunny skies from a dominant upper-level ridge promoting southerly warm air advection. Recent Miami soundings confirm dry air aloft stabilizing the atmosphere and limiting clouds, while climatological March highs average 80°F with ±3°F variability. Watch today's 12z ECMWF and GFS updates for refined sea breeze forecasts influencing final heating potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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