Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 23°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3, 2026, anchored by NOAA observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport—the official resolution source—which recorded a peak of 73°F (22.8°C, rounding to 23°C) at 3:20 PM amid widespread dust and hazy conditions that curtailed solar insolation and suppressed potential warming. This aligns with Israel Meteorological Service reports of hazy skies limiting midday highs below typical early-April averages of 22–25°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare NOAA data revisions from sensor recalibrations or quality checks could theoretically shift readings by 1°C; final timeseries confirmation is expected imminently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$70,604 交易量
$70,604 交易量
2026-04-03
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$70,604 交易量
$70,604 交易量
2026-04-03
15°C or below
$1,705 交易量
No
16°C
$2,064 交易量
No
17°C
$3,123 交易量
No
18°C
$2,608 交易量
No
19°C
$3,442 交易量
No
20°C
$4,224 交易量
No
21°C
$14,723 交易量
No
22°C
$6,497 交易量
No
23°C
$10,059 交易量
Yes
24°C
$12,487 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$9,670 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 23°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3, 2026, anchored by NOAA observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport—the official resolution source—which recorded a peak of 73°F (22.8°C, rounding to 23°C) at 3:20 PM amid widespread dust and hazy conditions that curtailed solar insolation and suppressed potential warming. This aligns with Israel Meteorological Service reports of hazy skies limiting midday highs below typical early-April averages of 22–25°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare NOAA data revisions from sensor recalibrations or quality checks could theoretically shift readings by 1°C; final timeseries confirmation is expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
交易量
$70,604结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 23°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3, 2026, anchored by NOAA observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport—the official resolution source—which recorded a peak of 73°F (22.8°C, rounding to 23°C) at 3:20 PM amid widespread dust and hazy conditions that curtailed solar insolation and suppressed potential warming. This aligns with Israel Meteorological Service reports of hazy skies limiting midday highs below typical early-April averages of 22–25°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare NOAA data revisions from sensor recalibrations or quality checks could theoretically shift readings by 1°C; final timeseries confirmation is expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$70,604结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to 23°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3, 2026, anchored by NOAA observational data from Ben Gurion International Airport—the official resolution source—which recorded a peak of 73°F (22.8°C, rounding to 23°C) at 3:20 PM amid widespread dust and hazy conditions that curtailed solar insolation and suppressed potential warming. This aligns with Israel Meteorological Service reports of hazy skies limiting midday highs below typical early-April averages of 22–25°C. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare NOAA data revisions from sensor recalibrations or quality checks could theoretically shift readings by 1°C; final timeseries confirmation is expected imminently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题