Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on 64-65°F for New York City's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the official recorded maximum of 65°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station, as sourced from Weather Underground's NOAA-integrated data finalized overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations of partly cloudy conditions, light northeast winds around 5-10 mph, and a cool Canadian air mass capping highs slightly above the 57°F Central Park climatological normal. Pre-event NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, converged on mid-60s peaks with minimal spread, reflecting stable barometric pressure and low moisture. Realistic challenges, such as post-audit data revisions from automated surface observing system quality control, are exceedingly rare for resolved daily maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on April 3?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 3?
64-65°F 100.0%
59°F or below 5.3%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$352,508 交易量
$352,508 交易量
2026-04-03
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
59°F or below 5.3%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$352,508 交易量
$352,508 交易量
2026-04-03
59°F or below
$53,499 交易量
No
60-61°F
$27,652 交易量
No
62-63°F
$31,990 交易量
No
64-65°F
$40,652 交易量
Yes
66-67°F
$38,158 交易量
No
68-69°F
$32,796 交易量
No
70-71°F
$28,193 交易量
No
72-73°F
$37,097 交易量
No
74-75°F
$26,006 交易量
No
76-77°F
$17,892 交易量
No
78°F or higher
$18,575 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on 64-65°F for New York City's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the official recorded maximum of 65°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station, as sourced from Weather Underground's NOAA-integrated data finalized overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations of partly cloudy conditions, light northeast winds around 5-10 mph, and a cool Canadian air mass capping highs slightly above the 57°F Central Park climatological normal. Pre-event NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, converged on mid-60s peaks with minimal spread, reflecting stable barometric pressure and low moisture. Realistic challenges, such as post-audit data revisions from automated surface observing system quality control, are exceedingly rare for resolved daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
交易量
$352,508结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on 64-65°F for New York City's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the official recorded maximum of 65°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station, as sourced from Weather Underground's NOAA-integrated data finalized overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations of partly cloudy conditions, light northeast winds around 5-10 mph, and a cool Canadian air mass capping highs slightly above the 57°F Central Park climatological normal. Pre-event NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, converged on mid-60s peaks with minimal spread, reflecting stable barometric pressure and low moisture. Realistic challenges, such as post-audit data revisions from automated surface observing system quality control, are exceedingly rare for resolved daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$352,508结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Trader consensus has locked in 100% implied probability on 64-65°F for New York City's highest temperature on April 3, driven by the official recorded maximum of 65°F at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station, as sourced from Weather Underground's NOAA-integrated data finalized overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations of partly cloudy conditions, light northeast winds around 5-10 mph, and a cool Canadian air mass capping highs slightly above the 57°F Central Park climatological normal. Pre-event NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, converged on mid-60s peaks with minimal spread, reflecting stable barometric pressure and low moisture. Realistic challenges, such as post-audit data revisions from automated surface observing system quality control, are exceedingly rare for resolved daily maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题