Trader consensus clusters tightly around 6°C (33.5%) as the highest temperature in Munich on March 26, propelled by the latest ECMWF and DWD ensemble forecasts averaging 5-7°C under a cool northerly airflow and persistent stratocumulus cloud cover suppressing insolation. Differentiating factors hinge on model divergences: ICON's high-resolution runs favor cooler 5°C outcomes with denser overcast, while GFS hints at 7°C if afternoon clearing emerges from a weakening high-pressure ridge. Historical late-March highs average 9°C, but this setup echoes 2023's cloudy anomaly at 6°C; traders eye DWD's 12Z update for frontal timing refinements amid low ensemble spread signaling high confidence in the 5-7°C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on March 26?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 26?
6°C 32%
5°C 25%
7°C 24%
4°C 14%
-1°C or below
<1%
0°C
1%
1°C
1%
2°C
1%
3°C
2%
4°C
14%
5°C
25%
6°C
32%
7°C
24%
8°C
7%
9°C or higher
2%
6°C 32%
5°C 25%
7°C 24%
4°C 14%
-1°C or below
<1%
0°C
1%
1°C
1%
2°C
1%
3°C
2%
4°C
14%
5°C
25%
6°C
32%
7°C
24%
8°C
7%
9°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 6°C (33.5%) as the highest temperature in Munich on March 26, propelled by the latest ECMWF and DWD ensemble forecasts averaging 5-7°C under a cool northerly airflow and persistent stratocumulus cloud cover suppressing insolation. Differentiating factors hinge on model divergences: ICON's high-resolution runs favor cooler 5°C outcomes with denser overcast, while GFS hints at 7°C if afternoon clearing emerges from a weakening high-pressure ridge. Historical late-March highs average 9°C, but this setup echoes 2023's cloudy anomaly at 6°C; traders eye DWD's 12Z update for frontal timing refinements amid low ensemble spread signaling high confidence in the 5-7°C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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