Official meteorological observations from ARPA Lombardia confirm Milan's highest temperature on March 26 reached exactly 14°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome and near-zero odds for warmer readings. Leading up to the date, ensemble forecast models including ECMWF and GFS converged on this figure amid a cool air mass over northern Italy, persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and light northerly winds—conditions typical for late March climatology in the Po Valley. Trader consensus reflects this robust data agreement, with historical March highs in Milan averaging 13–15°C providing further context. Only an unlikely revision to station records from official sources could challenge resolution, though such adjustments are rare post-verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on March 26?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 26?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$53,945 交易量
$53,945 交易量
Mar 26, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$53,945 交易量
$53,945 交易量
Mar 26, 2026
8°C or below
$0 交易量
No
9°C
$0 交易量
No
10°C
$0 交易量
No
11°C
$0 交易量
No
12°C
$0 交易量
No
13°C
$0 交易量
No
14°C
$11,951 交易量
Yes
15°C
$10,144 交易量
No
16°C
$5,527 交易量
No
17°C
$22,769 交易量
No
18°C or higher
$3,553 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from ARPA Lombardia confirm Milan's highest temperature on March 26 reached exactly 14°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome and near-zero odds for warmer readings. Leading up to the date, ensemble forecast models including ECMWF and GFS converged on this figure amid a cool air mass over northern Italy, persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and light northerly winds—conditions typical for late March climatology in the Po Valley. Trader consensus reflects this robust data agreement, with historical March highs in Milan averaging 13–15°C providing further context. Only an unlikely revision to station records from official sources could challenge resolution, though such adjustments are rare post-verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 22, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
交易量
$53,945结束日期
Mar 26, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 22, 2026, 6:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from ARPA Lombardia confirm Milan's highest temperature on March 26 reached exactly 14°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome and near-zero odds for warmer readings. Leading up to the date, ensemble forecast models including ECMWF and GFS converged on this figure amid a cool air mass over northern Italy, persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and light northerly winds—conditions typical for late March climatology in the Po Valley. Trader consensus reflects this robust data agreement, with historical March highs in Milan averaging 13–15°C providing further context. Only an unlikely revision to station records from official sources could challenge resolution, though such adjustments are rare post-verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$53,945结束日期
Mar 26, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 22, 2026, 6:19 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official meteorological observations from ARPA Lombardia confirm Milan's highest temperature on March 26 reached exactly 14°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome and near-zero odds for warmer readings. Leading up to the date, ensemble forecast models including ECMWF and GFS converged on this figure amid a cool air mass over northern Italy, persistent cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, and light northerly winds—conditions typical for late March climatology in the Po Valley. Trader consensus reflects this robust data agreement, with historical March highs in Milan averaging 13–15°C providing further context. Only an unlikely revision to station records from official sources could challenge resolution, though such adjustments are rare post-verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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