Official Met Office observations from London City Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 4 reached exactly 15°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. Amid Storm Dave's amber wind warnings, with gusts exceeding 40 mph and patchy clouds, brief sunny intervals provided sufficient insolation for this mild peak, aligning with seasonal norms for early April (historical London highs average 12–13°C). Model forecasts had converged on 14–16°C ranges pre-event, but verified surface measurements in standard Stevenson screens solidified positioning. Realistic challenges include rare provisional data revisions during quality control, though final synoptic reports rarely alter maxima post-midnight. Traders await monthly climate summary ratification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on April 4?
Highest temperature in London on April 4?
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$267,456 交易量
$267,456 交易量
2026-04-04
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$267,456 交易量
$267,456 交易量
2026-04-04
7°C or below
$14,526 交易量
No
8°C
$10,756 交易量
No
9°C
$10,975 交易量
No
10°C
$5,948 交易量
No
11°C
$18,117 交易量
No
12°C
$11,264 交易量
No
13°C
$12,121 交易量
No
14°C
$43,654 交易量
No
15°C
$60,375 交易量
Yes
16°C
$41,608 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$38,118 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from London City Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 4 reached exactly 15°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. Amid Storm Dave's amber wind warnings, with gusts exceeding 40 mph and patchy clouds, brief sunny intervals provided sufficient insolation for this mild peak, aligning with seasonal norms for early April (historical London highs average 12–13°C). Model forecasts had converged on 14–16°C ranges pre-event, but verified surface measurements in standard Stevenson screens solidified positioning. Realistic challenges include rare provisional data revisions during quality control, though final synoptic reports rarely alter maxima post-midnight. Traders await monthly climate summary ratification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
交易量
$267,456结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from London City Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 4 reached exactly 15°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. Amid Storm Dave's amber wind warnings, with gusts exceeding 40 mph and patchy clouds, brief sunny intervals provided sufficient insolation for this mild peak, aligning with seasonal norms for early April (historical London highs average 12–13°C). Model forecasts had converged on 14–16°C ranges pre-event, but verified surface measurements in standard Stevenson screens solidified positioning. Realistic challenges include rare provisional data revisions during quality control, though final synoptic reports rarely alter maxima post-midnight. Traders await monthly climate summary ratification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$267,456结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:03 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official Met Office observations from London City Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 4 reached exactly 15°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome. Amid Storm Dave's amber wind warnings, with gusts exceeding 40 mph and patchy clouds, brief sunny intervals provided sufficient insolation for this mild peak, aligning with seasonal norms for early April (historical London highs average 12–13°C). Model forecasts had converged on 14–16°C ranges pre-event, but verified surface measurements in standard Stevenson screens solidified positioning. Realistic challenges include rare provisional data revisions during quality control, though final synoptic reports rarely alter maxima post-midnight. Traders await monthly climate summary ratification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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