Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Chicago's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher on April 8 (97.3% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service forecast models and ensemble guidance projecting midday highs in the mid-50s°F amid a mild southerly flow. This aligns with Chicago's April 8 climatological normal of 56°F from NOAA records and the Climate Prediction Center's outlook for a warmer-than-average spring 2026, following a relatively mild March with active but non-extreme patterns. Recent daily forecast updates show consistent warming trends with low precipitation odds. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward surge of cool Canadian air or persistent cloud cover suppressing insolation, though current model agreement indicates minimal risk; monitor NWS Chicago advisories through April 7 for refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on April 8?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 8?
50°F or higher 97.8%
48-49°F 1.0%
34-35°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
最新
$24,330 交易量
最新
$24,330 交易量
2026-04-08
31°F or below
<1%
32-33°F
<1%
34-35°F
<1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50°F or higher
98%
50°F or higher 97.8%
48-49°F 1.0%
34-35°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
最新
$24,330 交易量
最新
$24,330 交易量
2026-04-08
31°F or below
$1,238 交易量
<1%
32-33°F
$2,764 交易量
<1%
34-35°F
$2,258 交易量
<1%
36-37°F
$1,738 交易量
<1%
38-39°F
$2,228 交易量
<1%
40-41°F
$1,621 交易量
<1%
42-43°F
$2,424 交易量
<1%
44-45°F
$1,949 交易量
<1%
46-47°F
$2,282 交易量
<1%
48-49°F
$2,293 交易量
1%
50°F or higher
$3,534 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Chicago's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher on April 8 (97.3% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service forecast models and ensemble guidance projecting midday highs in the mid-50s°F amid a mild southerly flow. This aligns with Chicago's April 8 climatological normal of 56°F from NOAA records and the Climate Prediction Center's outlook for a warmer-than-average spring 2026, following a relatively mild March with active but non-extreme patterns. Recent daily forecast updates show consistent warming trends with low precipitation odds. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward surge of cool Canadian air or persistent cloud cover suppressing insolation, though current model agreement indicates minimal risk; monitor NWS Chicago advisories through April 7 for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$24,330结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Chicago's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher on April 8 (97.3% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service forecast models and ensemble guidance projecting midday highs in the mid-50s°F amid a mild southerly flow. This aligns with Chicago's April 8 climatological normal of 56°F from NOAA records and the Climate Prediction Center's outlook for a warmer-than-average spring 2026, following a relatively mild March with active but non-extreme patterns. Recent daily forecast updates show consistent warming trends with low precipitation odds. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward surge of cool Canadian air or persistent cloud cover suppressing insolation, though current model agreement indicates minimal risk; monitor NWS Chicago advisories through April 7 for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$24,330结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Chicago's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher on April 8 (97.3% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service forecast models and ensemble guidance projecting midday highs in the mid-50s°F amid a mild southerly flow. This aligns with Chicago's April 8 climatological normal of 56°F from NOAA records and the Climate Prediction Center's outlook for a warmer-than-average spring 2026, following a relatively mild March with active but non-extreme patterns. Recent daily forecast updates show consistent warming trends with low precipitation odds. Realistic challenges include an unexpected northward surge of cool Canadian air or persistent cloud cover suppressing insolation, though current model agreement indicates minimal risk; monitor NWS Chicago advisories through April 7 for refinements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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