Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station—the standard reference for Buenos Aires city temperatures—confirm the highest reading of 28°C on April 2, 2026, around midday, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome. This matched closely with pre-event forecast models from SMN and international agencies like NOAA, which projected highs of 26–28°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and mild southerly winds suppressing extremes. April climatology typically sees average highs of 22–23°C, with 28°C reflecting above-normal warmth from lingering summer-like atmospheric patterns but no unusual heat dome. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from sensor recalibration or disputes over station representativeness versus Ezeiza Airport (which logged lower ~22°C), though SMN verification processes make shifts improbable as final bulletins finalize. Traders await any confirmatory updates from SMN's daily climatological report.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月2日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
4月2日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
28°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$156,000 交易量
$156,000 交易量
2026-04-02
23°C或以下
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C或更高
否
28°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$156,000 交易量
$156,000 交易量
2026-04-02
23°C或以下
$13,794 交易量
否
24°C
$15,763 交易量
否
25°C
$9,637 交易量
否
26°C
$16,933 交易量
否
27°C
$14,314 交易量
否
28°C
$34,880 交易量
是
29°C
$12,289 交易量
否
30°C
$14,695 交易量
否
31°C
$9,923 交易量
否
32°C
$6,382 交易量
否
33°C或更高
$7,390 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station—the standard reference for Buenos Aires city temperatures—confirm the highest reading of 28°C on April 2, 2026, around midday, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome. This matched closely with pre-event forecast models from SMN and international agencies like NOAA, which projected highs of 26–28°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and mild southerly winds suppressing extremes. April climatology typically sees average highs of 22–23°C, with 28°C reflecting above-normal warmth from lingering summer-like atmospheric patterns but no unusual heat dome. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from sensor recalibration or disputes over station representativeness versus Ezeiza Airport (which logged lower ~22°C), though SMN verification processes make shifts improbable as final bulletins finalize. Traders await any confirmatory updates from SMN's daily climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$156,000结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station—the standard reference for Buenos Aires city temperatures—confirm the highest reading of 28°C on April 2, 2026, around midday, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome. This matched closely with pre-event forecast models from SMN and international agencies like NOAA, which projected highs of 26–28°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and mild southerly winds suppressing extremes. April climatology typically sees average highs of 22–23°C, with 28°C reflecting above-normal warmth from lingering summer-like atmospheric patterns but no unusual heat dome. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from sensor recalibration or disputes over station representativeness versus Ezeiza Airport (which logged lower ~22°C), though SMN verification processes make shifts improbable as final bulletins finalize. Traders await any confirmatory updates from SMN's daily climatological report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$156,000结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 6:02 AM ET已提议结果: 是
无争议
最终结果: 是
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at the Aeroparque Jorge Newbery station—the standard reference for Buenos Aires city temperatures—confirm the highest reading of 28°C on April 2, 2026, around midday, driving market-implied odds to 100% consensus on this outcome. This matched closely with pre-event forecast models from SMN and international agencies like NOAA, which projected highs of 26–28°C under a stable high-pressure ridge and mild southerly winds suppressing extremes. April climatology typically sees average highs of 22–23°C, with 28°C reflecting above-normal warmth from lingering summer-like atmospheric patterns but no unusual heat dome. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from sensor recalibration or disputes over station representativeness versus Ezeiza Airport (which logged lower ~22°C), though SMN verification processes make shifts improbable as final bulletins finalize. Traders await any confirmatory updates from SMN's daily climatological report.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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