Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 17°C or higher on April 1, driven by midday observations at Esenboğa International Airport station already climbing toward 15°C amid mostly sunny skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia. Short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles project peak highs of 18–20°C this afternoon, supported by light southerly winds enhancing insolation and above-seasonal norms for early April (historical averages ~16°C). Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud development or a sudden cool front reducing solar heating, though steering patterns indicate low likelihood; final resolution awaits official Wunderground LTAC data post-sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 1?
17°C or higher 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$224,063 交易量
$224,063 交易量
2026-04-01
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
Yes
17°C or higher 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$224,063 交易量
$224,063 交易量
2026-04-01
7°C or below
$20,579 交易量
No
8°C
$16,439 交易量
No
9°C
$28,321 交易量
No
10°C
$16,621 交易量
No
11°C
$14,784 交易量
No
12°C
$8,520 交易量
No
13°C
$18,865 交易量
No
14°C
$20,422 交易量
No
15°C
$20,007 交易量
No
16°C
$28,773 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$30,731 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 17°C or higher on April 1, driven by midday observations at Esenboğa International Airport station already climbing toward 15°C amid mostly sunny skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia. Short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles project peak highs of 18–20°C this afternoon, supported by light southerly winds enhancing insolation and above-seasonal norms for early April (historical averages ~16°C). Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud development or a sudden cool front reducing solar heating, though steering patterns indicate low likelihood; final resolution awaits official Wunderground LTAC data post-sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 28, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
交易量
$224,063结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 28, 2026, 6:14 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 17°C or higher on April 1, driven by midday observations at Esenboğa International Airport station already climbing toward 15°C amid mostly sunny skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia. Short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles project peak highs of 18–20°C this afternoon, supported by light southerly winds enhancing insolation and above-seasonal norms for early April (historical averages ~16°C). Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud development or a sudden cool front reducing solar heating, though steering patterns indicate low likelihood; final resolution awaits official Wunderground LTAC data post-sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$224,063结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 28, 2026, 6:14 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 17°C or higher on April 1, driven by midday observations at Esenboğa International Airport station already climbing toward 15°C amid mostly sunny skies and a persistent high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia. Short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles project peak highs of 18–20°C this afternoon, supported by light southerly winds enhancing insolation and above-seasonal norms for early April (historical averages ~16°C). Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud development or a sudden cool front reducing solar heating, though steering patterns indicate low likelihood; final resolution awaits official Wunderground LTAC data post-sunset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题