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埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2026年1月12日 - 1月14日?

Market icon

埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2026年1月12日 - 1月14日?

115-139 100.0%

少于40条 <1%

40-64 <1%

65-89 <1%

Polymarket

$3,202,982 交易量

115-139 100.0%

少于40条 <1%

40-64 <1%

65-89 <1%

Polymarket

$3,202,982 交易量

少于40条

$163,397 交易量

40-64

$266,025 交易量

65-89

$336,173 交易量

90-114

$362,425 交易量

115-139

$433,697 交易量

140-164

$518,445 交易量

165-189

$556,075 交易量

190-214

$272,611 交易量

215-239

$128,110 交易量

240条以上

$166,025 交易量

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 12 12:00 PM ET to January 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,202,982
结束日期
Jan 14, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from January 12 12:00 PM ET to January 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2026年1月12日 - 1月14日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "115-139" at 100%, followed by "少于40条" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2026年1月12日 - 1月14日?" has generated $3.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2026年1月12日 - 1月14日?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2026年1月12日 - 1月14日?" is "115-139" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "少于40条" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "埃隆·马斯克 # 推文 2026年1月12日 - 1月14日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.