Market icon
经济·Elon Musk

埃隆·马斯克3月31日的净资产？

Market icon
经济·Elon Musk

埃隆·马斯克3月31日的净资产？

Mar 31

Mar 31

低于6400亿 60%

6400-6500亿 35%

6500亿-6600亿 2.6%

6700-6800亿 2.2%

Polymarket

$989,091 交易量

低于6400亿 60%

6400-6500亿 35%

6500亿-6600亿 2.6%

6700-6800亿 2.2%

Polymarket

$989,091 交易量

低于6400亿

$68,493 交易量

60%

6400-6500亿

$36,168 交易量

35%

6500亿-6600亿

$36,570 交易量

3%

6600亿-6700亿美元

$49,049 交易量

1%

6700-6800亿

$26,591 交易量

2%

6800亿-6900亿美元

$25,546 交易量

<1%

6900亿-7000亿

$27,339 交易量

<1%

7000亿-7100亿

$25,740 交易量

1%

7100亿以上

$694,018 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on March 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Tesla's recent share price decline from above $400 in early March to a March 27 close of $361.83 has pressured Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth estimate toward the sub-$640 billion threshold, driving Polymarket's trader consensus to price <640b at 59% implied probability and 640-650b at 34.5%. This pullback reflects broader electric vehicle sector headwinds, including softening demand signals and competitive pressures, with no offsetting catalysts from SpaceX's anticipated mid-year IPO at $1.5 trillion-plus valuation or xAI's January $230 billion funding round. With markets reopening Monday, March 31—market resolution day—traders await intraday trading volume and volatility around key $360 support to determine if sentiment stabilizes or erodes further, underscoring prediction markets' skin-in-the-game aggregation of equity-driven billionaire wealth dynamics.

Tesla's recent share price decline from above $400 in early March to a March 27 close of $361.83 has pressured Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth estimate toward the sub-$640 billion threshold, driving Polymarket's trader consensus to price <640b at 59% implied probability and 640-650b at 34.5%. This pullback reflects broader electric vehicle sector headwinds, including softening demand signals and competitive pressures, with no offsetting catalysts from SpaceX's anticipated mid-year IPO at $1.5 trillion-plus valuation or xAI's January $230 billion funding round. With markets reopening Monday, March 31—market resolution day—traders await intraday trading volume and volatility around key $360 support to determine if sentiment stabilizes or erodes further, underscoring prediction markets' skin-in-the-game aggregation of equity-driven billionaire wealth dynamics.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on March 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Tesla's recent share price decline from above $400 in early March to a March 27 close of $361.83 has pressured Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth estimate toward the sub-$640 billion threshold, driving Polymarket's trader consensus to price <640b at 59% implied probability and 640-650b at 34.5%. This pullback reflects broader electric vehicle sector headwinds, including softening demand signals and competitive pressures, with no offsetting catalysts from SpaceX's anticipated mid-year IPO at $1.5 trillion-plus valuation or xAI's January $230 billion funding round. With markets reopening Monday, March 31—market resolution day—traders await intraday trading volume and volatility around key $360 support to determine if sentiment stabilizes or erodes further, underscoring prediction markets' skin-in-the-game aggregation of equity-driven billionaire wealth dynamics.

Tesla's recent share price decline from above $400 in early March to a March 27 close of $361.83 has pressured Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth estimate toward the sub-$640 billion threshold, driving Polymarket's trader consensus to price <640b at 59% implied probability and 640-650b at 34.5%. This pullback reflects broader electric vehicle sector headwinds, including softening demand signals and competitive pressures, with no offsetting catalysts from SpaceX's anticipated mid-year IPO at $1.5 trillion-plus valuation or xAI's January $230 billion funding round. With markets reopening Monday, March 31—market resolution day—traders await intraday trading volume and volatility around key $360 support to determine if sentiment stabilizes or erodes further, underscoring prediction markets' skin-in-the-game aggregation of equity-driven billionaire wealth dynamics.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"埃隆·马斯克3月31日的净资产？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"低于6400亿"，概率为 60%，其次是"6400-6500亿"，概率为 35%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 60¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 60%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"埃隆·马斯克3月31日的净资产？"已产生 $989.1K 的总交易量（自Feb 26, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"埃隆·马斯克3月31日的净资产？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"埃隆·马斯克3月31日的净资产？"的当前领先者是"低于6400亿"，概率为 60%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 60%。紧随其后的结果是"6400-6500亿"，概率为 35%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"埃隆·马斯克3月31日的净资产？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。