Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Bank of England base rate hold at 100.0% for the March 20 MPC meeting, reflecting sticky inflation pressures that have tempered cut expectations. Headline CPI eased to 2.8% in January but services inflation lingers near 5%, exceeding the 2% target, while wage growth at 5.2% signals persistent demand. Weak Q4 GDP contraction of 0.3% adds caution, as policymakers prioritize anchoring inflation amid global uncertainties like U.S. policy shifts. This positioning could unwind if February CPI (released March 19) surprises lower or labor data softens dramatically, prompting a dovish pivot toward a 25 bps cut with odds below 0.2%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于无变化 100.0%
下调50个基点以上 <1%
下调25个基点 <1%
加息 <1%
$129,865 交易量
$129,865 交易量
Mar 19, 2026
下调50个基点以上
否
下调25个基点
否
无变化
是
加息
否
无变化 100.0%
下调50个基点以上 <1%
下调25个基点 <1%
加息 <1%
$129,865 交易量
$129,865 交易量
Mar 19, 2026
下调50个基点以上
$0 交易量
否
下调25个基点
$0 交易量
否
无变化
$129,865 交易量
是
加息
$0 交易量
否
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for March 2026 is scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's March 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Bank of England base rate hold at 100.0% for the March 20 MPC meeting, reflecting sticky inflation pressures that have tempered cut expectations. Headline CPI eased to 2.8% in January but services inflation lingers near 5%, exceeding the 2% target, while wage growth at 5.2% signals persistent demand. Weak Q4 GDP contraction of 0.3% adds caution, as policymakers prioritize anchoring inflation amid global uncertainties like U.S. policy shifts. This positioning could unwind if February CPI (released March 19) surprises lower or labor data softens dramatically, prompting a dovish pivot toward a 25 bps cut with odds below 0.2%.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for March 2026 is scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's March 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's March 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Dec 18, 2025, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$129,865结束日期
Mar 19, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for March 2026 is scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's March 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Bank of England base rate hold at 100.0% for the March 20 MPC meeting, reflecting sticky inflation pressures that have tempered cut expectations. Headline CPI eased to 2.8% in January but services inflation lingers near 5%, exceeding the 2% target, while wage growth at 5.2% signals persistent demand. Weak Q4 GDP contraction of 0.3% adds caution, as policymakers prioritize anchoring inflation amid global uncertainties like U.S. policy shifts. This positioning could unwind if February CPI (released March 19) surprises lower or labor data softens dramatically, prompting a dovish pivot toward a 25 bps cut with odds below 0.2%.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for March 2026 is scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's March 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's March 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$129,865结束日期
Mar 19, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Bank of England base rate hold at 100.0% for the March 20 MPC meeting, reflecting sticky inflation pressures that have tempered cut expectations. Headline CPI eased to 2.8% in January but services inflation lingers near 5%, exceeding the 2% target, while wage growth at 5.2% signals persistent demand. Weak Q4 GDP contraction of 0.3% adds caution, as policymakers prioritize anchoring inflation amid global uncertainties like U.S. policy shifts. This positioning could unwind if February CPI (released March 19) surprises lower or labor data softens dramatically, prompting a dovish pivot toward a 25 bps cut with odds below 0.2%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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