Market icon

Assad leaves Syria before 2025?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,307,332 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Bashar al-Assad has left Syria for any length of time between December 6, 2024, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Assad may have exited Syrian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Syria for this market to resolve to "Yes".

If Assad exits Syrian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Assad left Syria, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,307,332
结束日期
Dec 31, 2024
创建时间
Dec 6, 2024, 5:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Bashar al-Assad has left Syria for any length of time between December 6, 2024, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Assad may have exited Syrian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Syria for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Assad exits Syrian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Assad left Syria, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Assad leaves Syria before 2025?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Assad leaves Syria before 2025?" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Assad leaves Syria before 2025?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Assad leaves Syria before 2025?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Assad leaves Syria before 2025?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Assad leaves Syria before 2025?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,307,332 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Bashar al-Assad has left Syria for any length of time between December 6, 2024, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In cases where Assad may have exited Syrian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Syria for this market to resolve to "Yes".

If Assad exits Syrian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Assad left Syria, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,307,332
结束日期
Dec 31, 2024
创建时间
Dec 6, 2024, 5:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Bashar al-Assad has left Syria for any length of time between December 6, 2024, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Assad may have exited Syrian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Syria for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Assad exits Syrian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Assad left Syria, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Assad leaves Syria before 2025?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Assad leaves Syria before 2025?" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Assad leaves Syria before 2025?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Assad leaves Syria before 2025?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Assad leaves Syria before 2025?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.