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3rd largest company end of April?

Market icon

3rd largest company end of April?

Alphabet 71%

Apple 27%

NVIDIA 1.8%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$673,198 交易量

Alphabet 71%

Apple 27%

NVIDIA 1.8%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$673,198 交易量

Market icon

Alphabet

$3,109 交易量

71%

Market icon

Apple

$14,752 交易量

27%

Market icon

NVIDIA

$608,002 交易量

2%

Market icon

Microsoft

$1,082 交易量

1%

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Saudi Aramco

$18,918 交易量

1%

Market icon

Amazon

$1,189 交易量

<1%

Market icon

Oracle

$24,077 交易量

<1%

Market icon

Tesla

$2,068 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Polymarket traders price Alphabet with a 70.5% implied probability of holding third in global market capitalization rankings through April 30, reflecting its current $3.31 trillion valuation—behind Nvidia ($4.07 trillion) and Apple ($3.66 trillion) but ahead of Microsoft ($2.65 trillion) by a $660 billion buffer. This consensus stems from Alphabet's sustained AI momentum, including 18% revenue growth and Gemini integrations, outpacing Apple's iPhone-dependent trajectory amid a late-March broad market rally that lifted top tech shares 2% without altering relative positioning. Apple's 26.5% odds capture upside risk for Alphabet narrowing the $345 billion gap pre-earnings: Alphabet Q1 on April 23, Microsoft Q3 on April 29, and Apple Q2 on April 30. Lower probabilities for Nvidia (1.8%) and others highlight barriers from entrenched gaps and sector dynamics.

Polymarket traders price Alphabet with a 70.5% implied probability of holding third in global market capitalization rankings through April 30, reflecting its current $3.31 trillion valuation—behind Nvidia ($4.07 trillion) and Apple ($3.66 trillion) but ahead of Microsoft ($2.65 trillion) by a $660 billion buffer. This consensus stems from Alphabet's sustained AI momentum, including 18% revenue growth and Gemini integrations, outpacing Apple's iPhone-dependent trajectory amid a late-March broad market rally that lifted top tech shares 2% without altering relative positioning. Apple's 26.5% odds capture upside risk for Alphabet narrowing the $345 billion gap pre-earnings: Alphabet Q1 on April 23, Microsoft Q3 on April 29, and Apple Q2 on April 30. Lower probabilities for Nvidia (1.8%) and others highlight barriers from entrenched gaps and sector dynamics.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Polymarket traders price Alphabet with a 70.5% implied probability of holding third in global market capitalization rankings through April 30, reflecting its current $3.31 trillion valuation—behind Nvidia ($4.07 trillion) and Apple ($3.66 trillion) but ahead of Microsoft ($2.65 trillion) by a $660 billion buffer. This consensus stems from Alphabet's sustained AI momentum, including 18% revenue growth and Gemini integrations, outpacing Apple's iPhone-dependent trajectory amid a late-March broad market rally that lifted top tech shares 2% without altering relative positioning. Apple's 26.5% odds capture upside risk for Alphabet narrowing the $345 billion gap pre-earnings: Alphabet Q1 on April 23, Microsoft Q3 on April 29, and Apple Q2 on April 30. Lower probabilities for Nvidia (1.8%) and others highlight barriers from entrenched gaps and sector dynamics.

Polymarket traders price Alphabet with a 70.5% implied probability of holding third in global market capitalization rankings through April 30, reflecting its current $3.31 trillion valuation—behind Nvidia ($4.07 trillion) and Apple ($3.66 trillion) but ahead of Microsoft ($2.65 trillion) by a $660 billion buffer. This consensus stems from Alphabet's sustained AI momentum, including 18% revenue growth and Gemini integrations, outpacing Apple's iPhone-dependent trajectory amid a late-March broad market rally that lifted top tech shares 2% without altering relative positioning. Apple's 26.5% odds capture upside risk for Alphabet narrowing the $345 billion gap pre-earnings: Alphabet Q1 on April 23, Microsoft Q3 on April 29, and Apple Q2 on April 30. Lower probabilities for Nvidia (1.8%) and others highlight barriers from entrenched gaps and sector dynamics.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"3rd largest company end of April?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Alphabet",概率为 71%,其次是"Apple",概率为 27%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 71¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 71%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"3rd largest company end of April?"已产生 $673.2K 的总交易量(自Mar 20, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"3rd largest company end of April?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"3rd largest company end of April?"的当前领先者是"Alphabet",概率为 71%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 71%。紧随其后的结果是"Apple",概率为 27%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"3rd largest company end of April?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。