Market icon
财务·每月

第二大公司3月底？

Market icon
财务·每月

第二大公司3月底？

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

苹果 95.7%

Alphabet 2.9%

英伟达 <1%

微软 <1%

Polymarket

$1,927,944 交易量

苹果 95.7%

Alphabet 2.9%

英伟达 <1%

微软 <1%

Polymarket

$1,927,944 交易量

Market icon

苹果

$306,646 交易量

96%

Market icon

Alphabet

$272,318 交易量

3%

Market icon

英伟达

$187,580 交易量

<1%

Market icon

微软

$186,319 交易量

<1%

Market icon

特斯拉

$783,944 交易量

<1%

Market icon

沙特阿美

$191,136 交易量

<1%

Market icon

亚马逊

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,927,944
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 4:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Apple commands a 95.7% implied probability on Polymarket as the second-largest company by market capitalization at the end of March, reflecting trader consensus that NVIDIA's explosive AI-driven growth—fueled by surging demand for Hopper and Blackwell GPUs—will propel it past Apple's current $3.53 trillion lead to claim the top spot. Apple's resilient positioning stems from steady high-margin services revenue (29% year-over-year growth in latest quarter) and massive share repurchases, outpacing Microsoft ($3.21 trillion) and Alphabet ($2.19 trillion), whose cloud gains provide modest tailwinds. Recent NVIDIA supply chain expansions and robust data center spending underpin this view, though risks include earnings misses eroding NVDA's premium valuation (forward P/E ~45x) or macroeconomic cooling curbing AI capex ahead of Q1 2025 releases.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"第二大公司3月底？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"苹果"，概率为 96%，其次是"Alphabet"，概率为 3%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 96¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 96%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"第二大公司3月底？"已产生 $1.9 million 的总交易量（自Dec 23, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"第二大公司3月底？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"第二大公司3月底？"的当前领先者是"苹果"，概率为 96%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 96%。紧随其后的结果是"Alphabet"，概率为 3%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"第二大公司3月底？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。