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宣告 預測與賠率

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Kurds declare independence from Iran?

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

4%

$141K 交易量

$19.6K Liq.

12

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$8M 交易量

$61.2K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$1M 交易量

$23.6K Liq.

37

Ends 大約 1 個月內

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

9%

$52.8K 交易量

$19.3K Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

2%

$53.1K 交易量

$17.2K Liq.

9

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

28%

$156K 交易量

$5.3K Liq.

11

Ends 8 個月內

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

50%

June 30

$18M 交易量

$207K today

$246K Liq.

477

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

25%

December 31

$1M 交易量

$17.1K Liq.

72

Ends 8 個月內

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

<1%

$1M 交易量

$300K today

$92.3K Liq.

18

Ends 大約 10 小時前

Trump kiss by May 31?

Trump kiss by May 31?

18%

$2.8K 交易量

$9.7K Liq.

2

Ends 14 天內

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

82%

June 30

$28.7K 交易量

$3.6K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

11%

$349K 交易量

$47.2K Liq.

5

Ends 8 個月內

Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Exort Series Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Exort Series Playoffs

100%

BET-M 33

$1.6K 交易量

Ends 20 天前

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

100%

BIG Academy

$14.1K 交易量

Ends 23 天前

Counter-Strike: Oldboys vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Oldboys vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

Passion Academy

$32.1K 交易量

$1 Liq.

Ends 3 天前

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

21%

$15.7K 交易量

$3.7K Liq.

12

Ends 14 天內

DE-AL House Election Winner

DE-AL House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$1.3K 交易量

$24.6K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Counter-Strike: SAW vs Team Eclipse (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

Counter-Strike: SAW vs Team Eclipse (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group B

100%

SAW

$4.8K 交易量

Ends 大約 1 個月前

LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

100%

Disguised

$357K 交易量

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

100%

STATE

$2.8K 交易量

Ends 7 天前

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 宣告.

Polymarket currently hosts 158 active markets for 宣告 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Kurds declare independence from Iran?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $30.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 50% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 宣告 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.