President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term extends until 2028, anchoring trader consensus at 83.5% "No" for his departure by year-end, reinforced by January 2026 parliamentary defections that bolstered the AKP's seat distribution amid his declaration of a "year of reform." Government crackdowns on the main opposition CHP, including the ongoing detention of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu ahead of his March corruption trial and indictments against party figures, have sidelined key challengers without triggering snap election mechanisms. Ruling party leaders dismissed early election calls in February, while unconfirmed health speculations and intra-elite succession rivalries lack primary evidence to shift odds substantially before December. Upcoming PKK peace negotiations could further consolidate power, though political volatility persists.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$322,639 交易量
$322,639 交易量
2026-12-31
賺 4% 收益
是
$322,639 交易量
$322,639 交易量
2026-12-31
賺 4% 收益
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term extends until 2028, anchoring trader consensus at 83.5% "No" for his departure by year-end, reinforced by January 2026 parliamentary defections that bolstered the AKP's seat distribution amid his declaration of a "year of reform." Government crackdowns on the main opposition CHP, including the ongoing detention of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu ahead of his March corruption trial and indictments against party figures, have sidelined key challengers without triggering snap election mechanisms. Ruling party leaders dismissed early election calls in February, while unconfirmed health speculations and intra-elite succession rivalries lack primary evidence to shift odds substantially before December. Upcoming PKK peace negotiations could further consolidate power, though political volatility persists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
交易量
$322,639結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term extends until 2028, anchoring trader consensus at 83.5% "No" for his departure by year-end, reinforced by January 2026 parliamentary defections that bolstered the AKP's seat distribution amid his declaration of a "year of reform." Government crackdowns on the main opposition CHP, including the ongoing detention of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu ahead of his March corruption trial and indictments against party figures, have sidelined key challengers without triggering snap election mechanisms. Ruling party leaders dismissed early election calls in February, while unconfirmed health speculations and intra-elite succession rivalries lack primary evidence to shift odds substantially before December. Upcoming PKK peace negotiations could further consolidate power, though political volatility persists.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$322,639結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's constitutional term extends until 2028, anchoring trader consensus at 83.5% "No" for his departure by year-end, reinforced by January 2026 parliamentary defections that bolstered the AKP's seat distribution amid his declaration of a "year of reform." Government crackdowns on the main opposition CHP, including the ongoing detention of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu ahead of his March corruption trial and indictments against party figures, have sidelined key challengers without triggering snap election mechanisms. Ruling party leaders dismissed early election calls in February, while unconfirmed health speculations and intra-elite succession rivalries lack primary evidence to shift odds substantially before December. Upcoming PKK peace negotiations could further consolidate power, though political volatility persists.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions