Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's term constitutionally runs until the 2028 presidential election, scheduled no earlier than May, with snap polls requiring a three-fifths parliamentary supermajority (360 of 600 seats) that his AKP-led alliance lacks. Trader consensus at 83.5% for "No" stems from the absence of official resignation signals, verified health crises, or institutional pressures for early exit, despite ongoing economic strains like the lira's depreciation and opposition momentum from CHP's 2024 local victories. Erdoğan's recent high-profile actions—including the national 5G rollout on April 1, 2026, Defense Industry Committee leadership in February, and framing 2026 as a "year of reform"—reinforce perceptions of firm control, pricing in slim odds of upheaval before year-end barring unforeseen scandals or no-confidence triggers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$322,639 交易量
$322,639 交易量
2026-12-31
賺 4% 收益
是
$322,639 交易量
$322,639 交易量
2026-12-31
賺 4% 收益
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's term constitutionally runs until the 2028 presidential election, scheduled no earlier than May, with snap polls requiring a three-fifths parliamentary supermajority (360 of 600 seats) that his AKP-led alliance lacks. Trader consensus at 83.5% for "No" stems from the absence of official resignation signals, verified health crises, or institutional pressures for early exit, despite ongoing economic strains like the lira's depreciation and opposition momentum from CHP's 2024 local victories. Erdoğan's recent high-profile actions—including the national 5G rollout on April 1, 2026, Defense Industry Committee leadership in February, and framing 2026 as a "year of reform"—reinforce perceptions of firm control, pricing in slim odds of upheaval before year-end barring unforeseen scandals or no-confidence triggers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
交易量
$322,639結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's term constitutionally runs until the 2028 presidential election, scheduled no earlier than May, with snap polls requiring a three-fifths parliamentary supermajority (360 of 600 seats) that his AKP-led alliance lacks. Trader consensus at 83.5% for "No" stems from the absence of official resignation signals, verified health crises, or institutional pressures for early exit, despite ongoing economic strains like the lira's depreciation and opposition momentum from CHP's 2024 local victories. Erdoğan's recent high-profile actions—including the national 5G rollout on April 1, 2026, Defense Industry Committee leadership in February, and framing 2026 as a "year of reform"—reinforce perceptions of firm control, pricing in slim odds of upheaval before year-end barring unforeseen scandals or no-confidence triggers.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$322,639結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's term constitutionally runs until the 2028 presidential election, scheduled no earlier than May, with snap polls requiring a three-fifths parliamentary supermajority (360 of 600 seats) that his AKP-led alliance lacks. Trader consensus at 83.5% for "No" stems from the absence of official resignation signals, verified health crises, or institutional pressures for early exit, despite ongoing economic strains like the lira's depreciation and opposition momentum from CHP's 2024 local victories. Erdoğan's recent high-profile actions—including the national 5G rollout on April 1, 2026, Defense Industry Committee leadership in February, and framing 2026 as a "year of reform"—reinforce perceptions of firm control, pricing in slim odds of upheaval before year-end barring unforeseen scandals or no-confidence triggers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions