Under new right-wing President José Antonio Kast, who took office on March 11, 2026, Chile has prioritized security through military deployments to northern borders for migration control and extensions of the constitutional state of exception in the southern Macro Zona Sur amid persistent Mapuche-related tensions and crime concerns—Senate-approved on March 25. Earlier wildfire emergencies in Biobío and Ñuble regions, declared in January, have concluded without escalation. Sporadic protests against Kast's environmental rollbacks and policy shifts, including women's rights demonstrations in mid-March, remain contained without widespread unrest triggering a full estado de sitio, which requires congressional approval and suspends key rights. Trader consensus at 90.5% "No" reflects these targeted measures sufficing through June 30, barring unforeseen crises.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$38,838 交易量
$38,838 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$38,838 交易量
$38,838 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Under new right-wing President José Antonio Kast, who took office on March 11, 2026, Chile has prioritized security through military deployments to northern borders for migration control and extensions of the constitutional state of exception in the southern Macro Zona Sur amid persistent Mapuche-related tensions and crime concerns—Senate-approved on March 25. Earlier wildfire emergencies in Biobío and Ñuble regions, declared in January, have concluded without escalation. Sporadic protests against Kast's environmental rollbacks and policy shifts, including women's rights demonstrations in mid-March, remain contained without widespread unrest triggering a full estado de sitio, which requires congressional approval and suspends key rights. Trader consensus at 90.5% "No" reflects these targeted measures sufficing through June 30, barring unforeseen crises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 23, 2025, 2:38 PM ET
交易量
$38,838結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Under new right-wing President José Antonio Kast, who took office on March 11, 2026, Chile has prioritized security through military deployments to northern borders for migration control and extensions of the constitutional state of exception in the southern Macro Zona Sur amid persistent Mapuche-related tensions and crime concerns—Senate-approved on March 25. Earlier wildfire emergencies in Biobío and Ñuble regions, declared in January, have concluded without escalation. Sporadic protests against Kast's environmental rollbacks and policy shifts, including women's rights demonstrations in mid-March, remain contained without widespread unrest triggering a full estado de sitio, which requires congressional approval and suspends key rights. Trader consensus at 90.5% "No" reflects these targeted measures sufficing through June 30, barring unforeseen crises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a legally binding decree declaring a State of Siege (“Estado de Sitio”) in Chile enters into effect at any point between this market’s creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count toward resolution, the corresponding decree must explicitly constitute a “State of Siege” as defined by Article 40 of the Chilean Constitution, i.e., it must not be rejected by the National Congress within five days of the President submitting the declaration (after which Congressional approval is deemed granted if no decision is issued).
Only declarations explicitly constituting an “Estado de Sitio” under Chile’s constitutional states of exception will count. If the legal name of the “Estado de Sitio” state of exception changes via constitutional reform but retains the same essential powers, it may qualify.
A declaration of a “State of Emergency” (Estado de Emergencia) or “State of Catastrophe” (Estado de Catástrofe) will not count.
If a region is under a State of Emergency and is subsequently upgraded to a State of Siege, the market resolves "Yes" once the State of Siege takes effect as described above.
A decree applying to any province or region of Chile will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Diario Oficial de la República de Chile (www.diariooficial.cl). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$38,838結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Under new right-wing President José Antonio Kast, who took office on March 11, 2026, Chile has prioritized security through military deployments to northern borders for migration control and extensions of the constitutional state of exception in the southern Macro Zona Sur amid persistent Mapuche-related tensions and crime concerns—Senate-approved on March 25. Earlier wildfire emergencies in Biobío and Ñuble regions, declared in January, have concluded without escalation. Sporadic protests against Kast's environmental rollbacks and policy shifts, including women's rights demonstrations in mid-March, remain contained without widespread unrest triggering a full estado de sitio, which requires congressional approval and suspends key rights. Trader consensus at 90.5% "No" reflects these targeted measures sufficing through June 30, barring unforeseen crises.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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